Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins 5/11/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Friday, May 11, 2018

Marlins Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Brandon McCarthy vs. Dan Straily

The Atlanta Braves head to Marlins Park on Friday, May 11, 2018 to take on the Miami Marlins. The expected starting pitchers are Brandon McCarthy for the Braves and Dan Straily for the Marlins.

The odds for this matchup have Atlanta at -135 and Miami at +125. The Braves have a 16-16-3 over/under mark and a 21-14-0 run line record. The Marlins are 17-19-0 against the run line and have a 17-19-0 over/under record.

Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 16-16-3 against the over/under

The Atlanta Braves are 21-14-0 against the run line

Important Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 17-19-0 against the over/under

The Miami Marlins are 17-19-0 against the run line

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

05/04/18 SS Dansby Swanson Wrist 10-day DL (05/04)
04/18/18 P Anibal Sanchez Leg 10-day DL (04/18)
04/18/18 P Jose Ramirez Shoulder 10-day DL (04/18)
03/30/18 P Chase Whitley Heel 10-day DL (03/26)
03/30/18 P Jacob Lindgren Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Grant Dayton Elbow 60-day DL (02/14)

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

04/22/18 P Odrisamer Despaigne Forearm 10-day DL (04/20)
04/20/18 P Chris O'Grady Shoulder 10-day DL (04/17)
04/14/18 1B Garrett Cooper Wrist 60-day DL (04/02)
03/30/18 P Brett Graves Oblique 60-day DL (03/29)
03/26/18 P Elieser Hernandez Dental 10-day DL (03/26)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 21-14 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Brandon McCarthy has a 4-1 record with an earned run average of 4.84 and a WHIP of 1.59 this year. He has 27 strikeouts over his 35.1 innings pitched and he's given up 43 hits. He allows 11 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.58. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.73 and they have given up 105 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .216 against the bullpen and they've struck out 141 hitters and walked 83 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.61. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 278 base hits and 129 earned runs. They have allowed 29 home runs this season, ranking them 29th in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 158 batters and struck out 329. They have walked 4.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 3.85.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .268, good for 2nd in the league. The Braves hold a .437 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .335, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.6 hits per game. Nick Markakis is hitting .338 with an on-base percentage of .419. He has 47 hits this season in 139 at bats with 28 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .554 and an OPS+ of 168. Freddie Freeman is hitting .301 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .406. He has totaled 40 hits and he has driven in 26 men in 133 at bats. His OPS+ is 155 while his slugging percentage is at .519. The Braves have 335 hits, including 77 doubles and 41 home runs. Atlanta has walked 118 times so far this season and they have struck out 279 times as a unit. They have left 255 men on base and have a team OPS of .772. They score 5.34 runs per contest and have scored a total of 187 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami has a 13-23 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.75, Dan Straily has a 0-0 record and a 2.13 WHIP this season. He has 3 strikeouts over the 8 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 9 hits. He allows 10.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 10.29. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.19 and they have given up 149 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .258 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 164 batters and walked 69 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 5.02. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 314 base knocks and 182 earned runs this season. They have given up 46 home runs this year, which ranks 9th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 153 hitters and struck out 323 batters. They give up a walk 4.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 4.59.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .224, good for 30th in the league. The Marlins hold a .331 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .295, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 7.6 hits per contest. Brian Anderson comes into this matchup batting .267 with an OBP of .364. He has 35 hits this year along with 18 RBI in 131 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .389 with an OPS+ of 117. Starlin Castro is hitting .296 this season and he has an OBP of .344. He has collected 40 hits in 135 at bats while driving in 16 runs. He has an OPS+ of 105 and a slugging percentage of .370. The Marlins as a unit have 275 base hits, including 42 doubles and 27 homers. Miami has walked 107 times this year and they have struck out on 320 occasions. They have had 246 men left on base and have an OPS of .626. They have scored 3.39 runs per game and totaled 122 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Marlins +125

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