Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewers 7/5/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Thursday, July 5, 2018

Miller Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Max Fried vs. Jhoulys Chacin

The Atlanta Braves head to Miller Park on Thursday, July 5, 2018 to take on the Milwaukee Brewers. The expected starting pitchers are Max Fried for the Braves and Jhoulys Chacin for the Brewers.

The odds for this matchup have Atlanta at +105 and Milwaukee at -115. The Braves have a 42-38-4 over/under mark and a 45-39-0 run line record. The Brewers are 48-37-0 against the run line and have a 35-47-3 over/under record.

Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 42-38-4 against the over/under

The Atlanta Braves are 45-39-0 against the run line

Important Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 35-47-3 against the over/under

The Milwaukee Brewers are 48-37-0 against the run line

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

07/03/18 P Peter Moylan Forearm 10-day DL (07/02)
06/28/18 P Brandon McCarthy Knee 10-day DL (06/28)
06/22/18 P Jose Ramirez Shoulder 60-day DL (04/18)
06/22/18 P Michael Soroka Shoulder 60-day DL (06/20)
03/30/18 P Chase Whitley Heel 10-day DL (03/26)
03/30/18 P Jacob Lindgren Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Grant Dayton Elbow 60-day DL (02/14)

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

07/03/18 LF Christian Yelich Back is "?" Wednesday vs Minnesota Twins
07/03/18 SS Nick Franklin Quad 60-day DL (05/09)
06/26/18 CF Lorenzo Cain Groin 10-day DL (06/24)
06/13/18 P Matt Albers Shoulder 10-day DL (06/12)
06/01/18 C Stephen Vogt Shoulder is out for season
06/01/18 P Zach Davies Rotator Cuff 10-day DL (06/01)
05/30/18 3B Tyler Saladino Ankle 10-day DL (05/30)
05/09/18 P Wade Miley Oblique 60-day DL (05/09)
03/26/18 P Jimmy Nelson Shoulder 60-day DL (03/26)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 49-35 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Max Fried has a 1-2 record with an earned run average of 2.55 and a WHIP of 1.30 this year. He has 24 strikeouts over his 17.2 innings pitched and he's given up 13 hits. He allows 6.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.47. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.22 and they have given up 265 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .230 against the bullpen and they've struck out 308 hitters and walked 150 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 7.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.73. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 654 base hits and 318 earned runs. They have allowed 83 home runs this season, ranking them 27th in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 335 batters and struck out 752. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 3.96.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .261, good for 4th in the league. The Braves hold a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.2 hits per game. Nick Markakis is hitting .326 with an on-base percentage of .392. He has 108 hits this season in 331 at bats with 58 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .498 and an OPS+ of 143. Freddie Freeman is hitting .309 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .398. He has totaled 101 hits and he has driven in 56 men in 327 at bats. His OPS+ is 153 while his slugging percentage is at .532. The Braves have 773 hits, including 176 doubles and 97 home runs. Atlanta has walked 275 times so far this season and they have struck out 663 times as a unit. They have left 601 men on base and have a team OPS of .754. They score 5.04 runs per contest and have scored a total of 423 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Milwaukee has a 50-35 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.71, Jhoulys Chacin has a 6-3 record and a 1.34 WHIP this season. He has 76 strikeouts over the 97 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 87 hits. He allows 8.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.93. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.03 and they have given up 243 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .214 against the Brewers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 358 batters and walked 127 opposing hitters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 7.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.57. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 628 base knocks and 301 earned runs this season. They have given up 88 home runs this year, which ranks 22nd in Major League Baseball. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 298 hitters and struck out 750 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.22 while their FIP as a staff is 3.93.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .245, good for 16th in the league. The Brewers hold a .409 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Travis Shaw comes into this matchup batting .239 with an OBP of .340. He has 66 hits this year along with 48 RBI in 276 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .460 with an OPS+ of 112. Jesus Aguilar is hitting .308 this season and he has an OBP of .371. He has collected 70 hits in 227 at bats while driving in 55 runs. He has an OPS+ of 159 and a slugging percentage of .617. The Brewers as a unit have 700 base hits, including 133 doubles and 108 homers. Milwaukee has walked 272 times this year and they have struck out on 774 occasions. They have had 566 men left on base and have an OPS of .724. They have scored 4.35 runs per game and totaled 370 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Brewers MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Braves +105

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