Atlanta Braves at New York Mets 5/3/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Thursday, May 3, 2018

Citi Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Julio Teheran vs. Jason Vargas

The Atlanta Braves visit Citi Field on Thursday, May 3, 2018 to play the New York Mets. The probable starters are Julio Teheran for the Braves and Jason Vargas for the Mets.

The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at +103 and New York at -113. The Braves have a 13-12-3 over/under record and a 17-11-0 run line mark. The Mets are 15-12-0 against the run line and have a 14-12-1 over/under record.

Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 13-12-3 against the over/under

The Atlanta Braves are 17-11-0 against the run line

Important New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 14-12-1 against the over/under

The New York Mets are 15-12-0 against the run line

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

04/18/18 P Anibal Sanchez Leg 10-day DL (04/18)
04/18/18 P Jose Ramirez Shoulder 10-day DL (04/18)
03/30/18 P Chase Whitley Heel 10-day DL (03/26)
03/30/18 P Jacob Lindgren Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Grant Dayton Elbow 60-day DL (02/14)

Key New York Mets Injuries

04/28/18 3B David Wright Shoulder 60-day DL (03/26)
04/14/18 C Travis d'Arnaud Elbow 60-day DL (04/11)
04/13/18 C Kevin Plawecki Hand 10-day DL (04/13)
04/03/18 P Anthony Swarzak Oblique 10-day DL (04/01)
03/30/18 1B Dominic Smith Quad 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Rafael Montero Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 SS T.J. Rivera Elbow 60-day DL (02/18)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 17-11 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Julio Teheran has a 1-1 record with an earned run average of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.40 this season. He has 29 strikeouts over his 30 innings pitched and he's given up 26 hits. He's allowed 7.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.54. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.92 and they have given up 83 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .210 against the bullpen and they've struck out 114 hitters and walked 74 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 7.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.58. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 218 base hits and 103 earned runs. They have allowed 26 home runs this season, ranking them 25th in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 137 batters and struck out 266. They have walked 4.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit is 4.10.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .273, good for 1st in the league. The Braves hold a .439 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .344, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.8 hits per game. Dansby Swanson is hitting .295 with an on-base percentage of .342. He has 33 hits this season in 112 at bats with 13 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .438 and an OPS+ of 116. Ozzie Albies is hitting .289 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .336. He has totaled 35 hits and he has driven in 20 men in 121 at bats. His OPS+ is 163 while his slugging percentage is at .628. The Braves have 275 hits, including 68 doubles and 30 home runs. Atlanta has walked 102 times so far this season and they have struck out 227 times as a unit. They have left 214 men on base and have a team OPS of .783. They score 5.5 runs per contest and have scored a total of 154 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 17-10 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 22.09, Jason Vargas has a 0-1 record and a 3.27 WHIP. He has 5 strikeouts over the 3.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 9 hits. He's allowing 22.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 9.99. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.29 and they have given up 82 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .218 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 108 batters and walked 44 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.9 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 3.79. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 226 base knocks and 105 earned runs this season. They have given up 28 home runs this year, which ranks 17th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 86 hitters and struck out 274 batters. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.25 while their FIP as a staff is 3.61.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .239, good for 18th in the league. The Mets hold a .383 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 8.1 hits per contest. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this matchup batting .337 with an OBP of .388. He has 35 hits this year along with 17 RBI in 104 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .567 with an OPS+ of 165. Todd Frazier is hitting .266 this season and he has an OBP of .398. He has collected 25 hits in 94 at bats while driving in 17 runs. He has an OPS+ of 137 and a slugging percentage of .447. The Mets as a unit have 220 base hits, including 41 doubles and 27 homers. New York has walked 112 times this year and they have struck out on 243 occasions. They have had 190 men left on base and have an OPS of .712. They have scored 4.78 runs per game and totaled 129 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Mets -113

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