Atlanta Braves at New York Mets 8/4/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Saturday, August 4, 2018

Citi Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Kevin Gausman vs. Zack Wheeler

Citi Field is the site of the matchup between the Atlanta Braves and the New York Mets on Saturday, August 4, 2018. The probable starting pitchers are Kevin Gausman for the Braves and Zack Wheeler for the Mets.

Atlanta opens at -124 while New York opens at +114. The Braves have a 52-49-4 over/under record and a 55-50-0 run line mark. The Mets are 48-58-0 against the run line and have a 47-55-4 over/under record.

Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 52-49-4 against the over/under

The Atlanta Braves are 55-50-0 against the run line

Important New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 47-55-4 against the over/under

The New York Mets are 48-58-0 against the run line

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

07/31/18 P Peter Moylan Ribs 10-day DL (07/31)
07/31/18 P Sam Freeman Shoulder 10-day DL (07/29)
07/14/18 P Arodys Vizcaino Shoulder 10-day DL (07/14)
06/28/18 P Brandon McCarthy Knee 10-day DL (06/28)
06/27/18 P Darren O'Day Hamstring 60-day DL (06/27)
06/22/18 P Jose Ramirez Shoulder 60-day DL (04/18)
06/22/18 P Michael Soroka Shoulder 60-day DL (06/20)
03/30/18 P Chase Whitley Heel 10-day DL (03/26)
03/30/18 P Jacob Lindgren Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Grant Dayton Elbow 60-day DL (02/14)

Key New York Mets Injuries

08/01/18 P Steven Matz Forearm is "?" for next scheduled start
07/24/18 LF Yoenis Cespedes Heel 60-day DL (07/21); is out for season
06/24/18 P Jason Vargas Calf 10-day DL (06/20)
06/22/18 P AJ Ramos Shoulder 60-day DL (05/27)
06/19/18 RF Jay Bruce Hip 10-day DL (06/18)
06/11/18 1B Adrian Gonzalez None has been released
06/10/18 CF Juan Lagares Toe is out for season
04/28/18 3B David Wright Shoulder 60-day DL (03/26)
04/14/18 C Travis d'Arnaud Elbow 60-day DL (04/11)
03/26/18 P Rafael Montero Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 SS T.J. Rivera Elbow 60-day DL (02/18)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 58-47 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Kevin Gausman has a 5-8 record with an earned run average of 4.43 and a WHIP of 1.38 this year. He has 104 strikeouts over his 124 innings pitched and he's given up 139 hits. He's allowed 10.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.59. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.14 and they have given up 320 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the bullpen and they've struck out 373 hitters and walked 171 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 7.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 3.88. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 813 base hits and 409 earned runs. They have allowed 112 home runs this season, ranking them 24th in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 407 batters and struck out 929. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 4.13.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .260, good for 3rd in the league. The Braves hold a .423 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327, which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.1 hits per game. Freddie Freeman is hitting .315 with an on-base percentage of .397. He has 129 hits this season in 409 at bats with 69 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .528 and an OPS+ of 153. Nick Markakis is hitting .316 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .384. He has totaled 130 hits and he has driven in 67 men in 411 at bats. His OPS+ is 139 while his slugging percentage is at .487. The Braves have 953 hits, including 221 doubles and 114 home runs. Atlanta has walked 335 times so far this season and they have struck out 834 times as a unit. They have left 745 men on base and have a team OPS of .749. They score 4.85 runs per contest and have scored a total of 509 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 44-62 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.11, Zack Wheeler has a 5-6 record and a 1.29 WHIP this season. He has 116 strikeouts over the 120.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 113 hits. He allows 8.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.58. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.01 and they have given up 374 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 349 batters and walked 172 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.46. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 934 base knocks and 471 earned runs this season. They have given up 133 home runs this year, which ranks 8th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 347 hitters and struck out 926 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.28.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .228, good for 30th in the league. The Mets hold a .378 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 7.6 hits per contest. Amed Rosario comes into this matchup batting .237 with an OBP of .280. He has 79 hits this year along with 27 RBI in 333 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .357 with an OPS+ of 77. Brandon Nimmo is hitting .248 this season and he has an OBP of .375. He has collected 75 hits in 302 at bats while driving in 32 runs. He has an OPS+ of 136 and a slugging percentage of .474. The Mets as a unit have 806 base hits, including 167 doubles and 110 homers. New York has walked 375 times this year and they have struck out on 913 occasions. They have had 710 men left on base and have an OPS of .686. They have scored 3.92 runs per game and totaled 416 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Braves -124

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