Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies 4/28/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Saturday, April 28, 2018

Citizens Bank Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Mike Foltynewicz vs. Nick Pivetta

The Atlanta Braves head to Citizens Bank Park on Saturday, April 28, 2018 to take on the Philadelphia Phillies. The expected starting pitchers are Mike Foltynewicz for the Braves and Nick Pivetta for the Phillies.

The odds for this matchup have Atlanta at +116 and Philadelphia at -126. The Braves have a 11-10-3 over/under mark and a 14-10-0 run line record. The Phillies are 10-14-0 against the run line and have a 11-10-3 over/under record.

Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 11-10-3 against the over/under

The Atlanta Braves are 14-10-0 against the run line

Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 11-10-3 against the over/under

The Philadelphia Phillies are 10-14-0 against the run line

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

04/18/18 P Anibal Sanchez Leg 10-day DL (04/18)
04/18/18 P Jose Ramirez Shoulder 10-day DL (04/18)
03/30/18 P Chase Whitley Heel 10-day DL (03/26)
03/30/18 P Jacob Lindgren Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/30/18 C Tyler Flowers Oblique 10-day DL (03/30)
03/26/18 P Grant Dayton Elbow 60-day DL (02/14)
03/26/18 P Luiz Gohara Ankle 10-day DL (03/26)

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

03/30/18 P Pat Neshek Shoulder 10-day DL (03/30)
03/29/18 P Mark Leiter Forearm 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Jerad Eickhoff Back 10-day DL (03/26)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 14-10 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Mike Foltynewicz has a 1-1 record with an earned run average of 2.77 and a WHIP of 1.31 this year. He has 33 strikeouts over his 26 innings pitched and he's given up 21 hits. He allows 7.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.75. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.05 and they have given up 71 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .208 against the bullpen and they've struck out 94 hitters and walked 66 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 7.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 3.7. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 190 base hits and 92 earned runs. They have allowed 21 home runs this season, ranking them 23rd in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 122 batters and struck out 227. They have walked 4.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.40 and their FIP as a unit is 4.03.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .269, good for 2nd in the league. The Braves hold a .436 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .342, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.6 hits per game. Dansby Swanson is hitting .316 with an on-base percentage of .363. He has 30 hits this season in 95 at bats with 13 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .484 and an OPS+ of 135. Ozzie Albies is hitting .288 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .333. He has totaled 30 hits and he has driven in 16 men in 104 at bats. His OPS+ is 164 while his slugging percentage is at .635. The Braves have 231 hits, including 57 doubles and 27 home runs. Atlanta has walked 89 times so far this season and they have struck out 197 times as a unit. They have left 177 men on base and have a team OPS of .778. They score 5.58 runs per contest and have scored a total of 134 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 15-9 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.57, Nick Pivetta has a 1-0 record and a 1.00 WHIP this season. He has 28 strikeouts over the 28 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 24 hits. He allows 7.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.29. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.18 and they have given up 65 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .207 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 88 batters and walked 39 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 7.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.33. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 186 base knocks and 81 earned runs this season. They have given up 18 home runs this year, which ranks 28th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 77 hitters and struck out 210 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.20 while their FIP as a staff is 3.55.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .235, good for 18th in the league. The Phillies hold a .372 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 7.8 hits per contest. Rhys Hoskins comes into this matchup batting .338 with an OBP of .495. He has 25 hits this year along with 19 RBI in 74 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .608 with an OPS+ of 208. Cesar Hernandez is hitting .310 this season and he has an OBP of .425. He has collected 27 hits in 87 at bats while driving in 10 runs. He has an OPS+ of 140 and a slugging percentage of .425. The Phillies as a unit have 187 base hits, including 41 doubles and 20 homers. Philadelphia has walked 105 times this year and they have struck out on 245 occasions. They have had 160 men left on base and have an OPS of .697. They have scored 4.88 runs per game and totaled 117 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Phillies -126

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