Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies 4/29/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Sunday, April 29, 2018

Citizens Bank Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Brandon McCarthy vs. Vince Velasquez

The Atlanta Braves head to Citizens Bank Park on Sunday, April 29, 2018 to take on the Philadelphia Phillies. The expected starting pitchers are Brandon McCarthy for the Braves and Vince Velasquez for the Phillies.

The odds for this matchup have Atlanta at +115 and Philadelphia at -125. The Braves have a 12-10-3 over/under mark and a 14-11-0 run line record. The Phillies are 11-14-0 against the run line and have a 12-10-3 over/under record.

Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 12-10-3 against the over/under

The Atlanta Braves are 14-11-0 against the run line

Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 12-10-3 against the over/under

The Philadelphia Phillies are 11-14-0 against the run line

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

04/18/18 P Anibal Sanchez Leg 10-day DL (04/18)
04/18/18 P Jose Ramirez Shoulder 10-day DL (04/18)
03/30/18 P Chase Whitley Heel 10-day DL (03/26)
03/30/18 P Jacob Lindgren Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Grant Dayton Elbow 60-day DL (02/14)
03/26/18 P Luiz Gohara Ankle 10-day DL (03/26)

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

04/27/18 P Ben Lively Back 10-day DL (04/27)
03/30/18 P Pat Neshek Shoulder 10-day DL (03/30)
03/29/18 P Mark Leiter Forearm 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Jerad Eickhoff Back 10-day DL (03/26)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 14-11 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Brandon McCarthy has a 3-0 record with an earned run average of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.31 this year. He has 19 strikeouts over his 26.2 innings pitched and he's given up 26 hits. He allows 8.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.71. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.21 and they have given up 78 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .215 against the bullpen and they've struck out 98 hitters and walked 68 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 7.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 3.85. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 199 base hits and 99 earned runs. They have allowed 24 home runs this season, ranking them 21st in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 126 batters and struck out 233. They have walked 4.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.40 and their FIP as a unit is 4.25.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .268, good for 3rd in the league. The Braves hold a .432 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.6 hits per game. Dansby Swanson is hitting .303 with an on-base percentage of .349. He has 30 hits this season in 99 at bats with 13 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .465 and an OPS+ of 126. Ozzie Albies is hitting .287 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .330. He has totaled 31 hits and he has driven in 16 men in 108 at bats. His OPS+ is 162 while his slugging percentage is at .630. The Braves have 240 hits, including 60 doubles and 27 home runs. Atlanta has walked 90 times so far this season and they have struck out 205 times as a unit. They have left 184 men on base and have a team OPS of .771. They score 5.48 runs per contest and have scored a total of 137 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 16-9 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.50, Vince Velasquez has a 1-3 record and a 1.35 WHIP this season. He has 30 strikeouts over the 26 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 28 hits. He allows 9.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.18. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.10 and they have given up 67 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .207 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 92 batters and walked 39 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 7.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.32. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 195 base knocks and 84 earned runs this season. They have given up 18 home runs this year, which ranks 29th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 78 hitters and struck out 218 batters. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.20 while their FIP as a staff is 3.47.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .237, good for 20th in the league. The Phillies hold a .381 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328, which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 7.8 hits per contest. Rhys Hoskins comes into this matchup batting .346 with an OBP of .495. He has 27 hits this year along with 19 RBI in 78 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .603 with an OPS+ of 206. Cesar Hernandez is hitting .300 this season and he has an OBP of .418. He has collected 27 hits in 90 at bats while driving in 10 runs. He has an OPS+ of 134 and a slugging percentage of .411. The Phillies as a unit have 196 base hits, including 42 doubles and 23 homers. Philadelphia has walked 109 times this year and they have struck out on 251 occasions. They have had 165 men left on base and have an OPS of .709. They have scored 4.96 runs per game and totaled 124 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Phillies -125

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