Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies 9/30/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Sunday, September 30, 2018

Citizens Bank Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Kevin Gausman vs. Ranger Suarez

The Atlanta Braves head to Citizens Bank Park on Sunday, September 30, 2018 to take on the Philadelphia Phillies. The expected starting pitchers are Kevin Gausman for the Braves and Ranger Suarez for the Phillies.

The odds for this matchup have Atlanta at -135 and Philadelphia at +115. The Braves have a 78-77-5 over/under mark and a 82-78-0 run line record. The Phillies are 73-87-0 against the run line and have a 74-79-7 over/under record.

Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 78-77-5 against the over/under

The Atlanta Braves are 82-78-0 against the run line

Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 74-79-7 against the over/under

The Philadelphia Phillies are 73-87-0 against the run line

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

09/27/18 SS Dansby Swanson Hand is out indefinitely
09/15/18 P Luiz Gohara Shoulder 60-day DL (09/14)
08/08/18 P Max Fried Groin 10-day DL (08/08)
07/31/18 P Peter Moylan Ribs 60-day DL (07/31)
06/28/18 P Brandon McCarthy Knee 10-day DL (06/28)
06/27/18 P Darren O'Day Hamstring 60-day DL (06/27)
06/22/18 P Jose Ramirez Shoulder 60-day DL (04/18)
06/22/18 P Michael Soroka Shoulder 60-day DL (06/20)
03/30/18 P Chase Whitley Heel 10-day DL (03/26)
03/30/18 P Jacob Lindgren Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Grant Dayton Elbow 60-day DL (02/14)

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

05/08/18 P Adam Morgan Back 10-day DL (05/08)
04/27/18 P Ben Lively Back 10-day DL (04/27)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 90-70 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Kevin Gausman has a 10-10 record with an earned run average of 3.93 and a WHIP of 1.29 this year. He has 142 strikeouts over his 178.2 innings pitched and he's given up 184 hits. He allows 9.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.3. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.14 and they have given up 502 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the bullpen and they've struck out 548 hitters and walked 268 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 7.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.76. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 1,225 base hits and 602 earned runs. They have allowed 152 home runs this season, ranking them 27th in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 624 batters and struck out 1,402. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.28 and their FIP as a unit is 3.99.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .258, good for 5th in the league. The Braves hold a .420 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Freddie Freeman is hitting .312 with an on-base percentage of .389. He has 191 hits this season in 613 at bats with 98 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .509 and an OPS+ of 141. Nick Markakis is hitting .297 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .363. He has totaled 184 hits and he has driven in 93 men in 620 at bats. His OPS+ is 117 while his slugging percentage is at .440. The Braves have 1,427 hits, including 312 doubles and 175 home runs. Atlanta has walked 502 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,264 times as a unit. They have left 1,129 men on base and have a team OPS of .746. They score 4.74 runs per contest and have scored a total of 758 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 78-82 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.00, Ranger Suarez has a 1-1 record and a 2.00 WHIP this season. He has 6 strikeouts over the 12 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 20 hits. He allows 15 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.41. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.25 and they have given up 542 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 568 batters and walked 217 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.19. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,360 base knocks and 664 earned runs this season. They have given up 171 home runs this year, which ranks 22nd in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 491 hitters and struck out 1,439 batters. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 3.86.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .235, good for 28th in the league. The Phillies hold a .393 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314, which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 7.9 hits per contest. Odubel Herrera comes into this matchup batting .257 with an OBP of .314. He has 140 hits this year along with 70 RBI in 544 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .425 with an OPS+ of 96. Cesar Hernandez is hitting .253 this season and he has an OBP of .358. He has collected 151 hits in 597 at bats while driving in 57 runs. He has an OPS+ of 94 and a slugging percentage of .358. The Phillies as a unit have 1,260 base hits, including 239 doubles and 185 homers. Philadelphia has walked 571 times this year and they have struck out on 1,499 occasions. They have had 1,104 men left on base and have an OPS of .707. They have scored 4.19 runs per game and totaled 671 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Phillies +115

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Josh Schonwald