Boston Red Sox at Miami Marlins 4/2/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Monday, April 2, 2018

Marlins Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Brian Johnson vs. Trevor Richards

Marlins Park is the site of the matchup between the Boston Red Sox and the Miami Marlins on Monday, April 2, 2018. The probable starting pitchers are Brian Johnson for the Red Sox and Trevor Richards for the Marlins.

Boston opens at -155 while Miami opens at +145. The Red Sox had a 74-86-6 over/under record and a 88-78-0 run line mark last year. The Marlins were 82-80-0 against the run line and had a 84-67-11 over/under record.

Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox were 74-86-6 against the over/under last season

The Boston Red Sox were 88-78-0 against the run line last year

Important Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins were 84-67-11 against the over/under last season

The Miami Marlins were 82-80-0 against the run line last year

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

03/30/18 P Austin Maddox Shoulder 10-day DL (03/29)
03/30/18 P Tyler Thornburg Shoulder 10-day DL (03/29)
03/29/18 2B Dustin Pedroia Knee 10-day DL (03/29)
03/26/18 P Eduardo Rodriguez Knee 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Drew Pomeranz Elbow 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 SS Marco Hernandez Shoulder 60-day DL (03/29)
03/26/18 P Steven Wright Knee 10-day DL (03/26)

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

03/30/18 P Brett Graves Oblique 60-day DL (03/29)
03/26/18 P Dan Straily Forearm 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Elieser Hernandez Dental 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 C J.T. Realmuto Back 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 SS JT Riddle Shoulder 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 3B Martin Prado Knee 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Wei-Yin Chen Elbow 10-day DL (03/26)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Red Sox had a 93-69 overall record last season. Starting pitcher Brian Johnson had a 2-0 record with an earned run average of 4.33 and a WHIP of 1.48. He had 21 strikeouts over his 27 innings pitched and he gave up 32 hits. He allowed 10.7 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 4.9. The bullpen had an earned run average of 3.15 and they gave up 442 base hits on the year. Teams hit .223 against the bullpen and they struck out 579 hitters while walking 179 batters. As a team, Boston allowed 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They were 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.7. The Red Sox pitchers collectively gave up 1,384 base hits and 610 earned runs last year. They allowed 195 home runs last season, ranking them 15th in the league. Boston as a pitching staff walked 465 batters and struck out 1,580. They walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.25 and their FIP as a unit was 3.78.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Boston hit .258, good for 12th in the league. The Red Sox held a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which was good for 11th in baseball. They ranked 8th in MLB with 9.0 hits per game. J.D. Martinez hit .303 with an on-base percentage of .376 last year. He had 131 hits last season in 432 at bats with 104 runs batted in. He had a slugging percentage of .690 and an OPS+ of 166. Mookie Betts hit .264 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .344. He totaled 166 hits and he drove in 102 men in 628 at bats. His OPS+ was 108 while his slugging percentage was at .459. The Red Sox had 1,461 hits last season, including 302 doubles and 168 home runs. Boston walked 571 times last year and they struck out 1,224 times as a unit. They left 1,134 men on base and had a team OPS of .736. They scored 4.85 runs per contest and scored a total of 785 runs last year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami had a 77-85 overall mark last year. Trevor Richards is expected to make his major league debut for the Marlins. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.40 and they gave up 602 base hits last year. Teams hit .254 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers struck out 559 batters and walked 271 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allowed 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.5 batters per nine innings. They were 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.82. The Marlins pitchers as a team surrendered 1,450 base knocks and 772 earned runs last season. They gave up 193 home runs last year, which ranked 18th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff walked 627 hitters and struck out 1,202 batters. They gave up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they struck out 7.5 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.44 while their FIP as a staff was 4.69.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they batted .267, good for 3rd in the league. The Marlins held a .431 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331, which was good for 10th in baseball. They ranked 3rd in MLB with 9.2 hits per contest. Starlin Castro comes into this matchup after batting .300 with an OBP of .338 last season. He had 133 hits last year along with 63 RBI in 443 AB's. He maintained a slugging percentage of .454 with an OPS+ of 106. Justin Bour hit .289 last season and he had an OBP of .366. He collected 109 hits in 377 at bats while driving in 83 runs. He had an OPS+ of 139 and a slugging percentage of .536. The Marlins as a unit had 1,497 base hits last season, including 271 doubles and 194 homers. Miami walked 486 times last year and they struck out on 1,282 occasions. They left 1,130 men on base and had an OPS of .761. They scored 4.8 runs per game and totaled 778 runs last year.

Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Red Sox -155

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