Braves at Dodgers NLDS Game 1 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Thursday, October 4, 2018

Dodger Stadium

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Mike Foltynewicz vs. Hyun-Jin Ryu

Dodger Stadium is the site of the NLDS Game 1 matchup between the Atlanta Braves and the Los Angeles Dodgers on Thursday. The probable starting pitchers are Mike Foltynewicz for the Braves and Hyun-Jin Ryu for the Dodgers.

Atlanta opens at +180 while Los Angeles opens at -210. The Braves have a 78-79-5 over/under record and a 82-80-0 run line mark. The Dodgers are 72-90-0 against the run line and have a 71-82-9 over/under record.

Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 78-79-5 against the over/under

The Atlanta Braves are 82-80-0 against the run line

Important Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 71-82-9 against the over/under

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 72-90-0 against the run line

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

10/02/18 SS Dansby Swanson Hand is out indefinitely
09/15/18 P Luiz Gohara Shoulder 60-day DL (09/14)
08/08/18 P Max Fried Groin 10-day DL (08/08)
07/31/18 P Peter Moylan Ribs 60-day DL (07/31)
06/28/18 P Brandon McCarthy Knee 10-day DL (06/28)
06/27/18 P Darren O'Day Hamstring 60-day DL (06/27)
06/22/18 P Jose Ramirez Shoulder 60-day DL (04/18)
06/22/18 P Michael Soroka Shoulder 60-day DL (06/20)
03/30/18 P Chase Whitley Heel 10-day DL (03/26)
03/30/18 P Jacob Lindgren Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Grant Dayton Elbow 60-day DL (02/14)

Key Los Angeles Dodgers Injuries

09/18/18 P Daniel Hudson Forearm 60-day DL (08/25)
09/03/18 P Brock Stewart Oblique 60-day DL (09/03)
08/18/18 P Erik Goeddel Elbow 60-day DL (08/17)
06/10/18 P Dennis Santana Rotator Cuff 60-day DL (06/05)
05/01/18 SS Corey Seager Elbow is out for season
03/30/18 P Julio Urias Shoulder 60-day DL (02/23)
03/30/18 P Tom Koehler Shoulder 60-day DL (03/26)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves had a 90-72 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Mike Foltynewicz has a 13-10 record with an earned run average of 2.85 and a WHIP of 1.08 this year. He has 202 strikeouts over his 183 innings pitched and he's given up 130 hits. He's allowed 6.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.38. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.15 and they have given up 505 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the bullpen and they've struck out 556 hitters and walked 273 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 7.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.75. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 1,236 base hits and 607 earned runs. They have allowed 153 home runs this season, ranking them 28th in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 635 batters and struck out 1,423. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.28 and their FIP as a unit is 3.99.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .257, good for 5th in the league. The Braves hold a .417 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Freddie Freeman is hitting .309 with an on-base percentage of .388. He has 191 hits this season in 618 at bats with 98 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .505 and an OPS+ of 140. Nick Markakis is hitting .297 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .366. He has totaled 185 hits and he has driven in 93 men in 623 at bats. His OPS+ is 117 while his slugging percentage is at .440. The Braves have 1,433 hits, including 314 doubles and 175 home runs. Atlanta has walked 511 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,290 times as a unit. They have left 1,143 men on base and have a team OPS of .742. They score 4.69 runs per contest and have scored a total of 759 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Los Angeles had a 92-71 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 1.97, Hyun-Jin Ryu has a 7-3 record and a 1.01 WHIP this season. He has 89 strikeouts over the 82.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 68 hits. He allows 7.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.01. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.72 and they have given up 505 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the Dodgers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 625 batters and walked 199 opposing hitters. As a team, Los Angeles allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.39. The Dodgers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,275 base knocks and 552 earned runs this season. They have given up 177 home runs this year, which ranks 19th in Major League Baseball. Los Angeles as a staff has walked 418 hitters and struck out 1,559 batters. They give up a walk 2.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.15 while their FIP as a staff is 3.58.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .250, good for 15th in the league. The Dodgers hold a .441 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 14th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Manny Machado comes into this matchup batting .298 with an OBP of .367. He has 187 hits this year along with 107 RBI in 628 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .540 with an OPS+ of 147. Max Muncy is hitting .261 this season and he has an OBP of .390. He has collected 102 hits in 391 at bats while driving in 77 runs. He has an OPS+ of 159 and a slugging percentage of .575. The Dodgers as a unit have 1,385 base hits, including 293 doubles and 233 homers. Los Angeles has walked 645 times this year and they have struck out on 1,426 occasions. They have had 1,157 men left on base and have an OPS of .774. They have scored 4.93 runs per game and totaled 799 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Dodgers MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Braves +180

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