Brewers at Rockies NLDS Game 3 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Sunday, October 7, 2018

Coors Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Wade Miley vs. German Marquez

The Milwaukee Brewers visit Coors Field on Sunday to play the Colorado Rockies in Game 3 of the NLDS. The Brewers lead the series 2-0 after winning two close games in Milwaukee. The probable starters are Wade Miley for the Brewers and German Marquez for the Rockies.

The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at +129 and Colorado at -140. The Brewers have a 79-83-3 over/under record and a 89-76-0 run line mark. The Rockies are 88-78-0 against the run line and have a 68-89-9 over/under record.

Valuable Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 79-83-3 against the over/under

The Milwaukee Brewers are 89-76-0 against the run line

Important Colorado Rockies Betting Trends

The Colorado Rockies are 68-89-9 against the over/under

The Colorado Rockies are 88-78-0 against the run line

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

07/26/18 P Brent Suter Forearm 60-day DL (7/23)
06/01/18 C Stephen Vogt Shoulder is out for season
03/26/18 P Jimmy Nelson Shoulder 60-day DL (03/26)

Key Colorado Rockies Injuries

09/06/18 CF Yonathan Daza Shoulder 60-day DL (09/04)
07/08/18 P Mike Dunn Undisclosed 60-day DL (07/07)
04/24/18 P Carlos Estevez Oblique 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Rayan Gonzalez Elbow 60-day DL (03/12)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Brewers have a 96-67 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Wade Miley has a 5-2 record with an earned run average of 2.57 and a WHIP of 1.22 this season. He has 50 strikeouts over his 80.2 innings pitched and he's given up 71 hits. He's allowed 7.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.6. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.47 and they have given up 522 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .226 against the bullpen and they've struck out 708 hitters and walked 243 batters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.75. The Brewers pitchers collectively have given up 1,256 base hits and 605 earned runs. They have allowed 172 home runs this season, ranking them 23rd in the league. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 550 batters and struck out 1,420. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.24 and their FIP as a unit is 4.01.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Milwaukee is hitting .252, good for 13th in the league. The Brewers hold a .425 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 13th in MLB with 8.6 hits per game. Jesus Aguilar is hitting .275 with an on-base percentage of .352. He has 134 hits this season in 488 at bats with 108 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .541 and an OPS+ of 135. Travis Shaw is hitting .241 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .345. He has totaled 120 hits and he has driven in 86 men in 497 at bats. His OPS+ is 119 while his slugging percentage is at .481. The Brewers have 1,386 hits, including 251 doubles and 218 home runs. Milwaukee has walked 537 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,452 times as a unit. They have left 1,100 men on base and have a team OPS of .747. They score 4.64 runs per contest and have scored a total of 751 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Colorado has a 91-72 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.76, German Marquez has a 14-10 record and a 1.20 WHIP. He has 221 strikeouts over the 191.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 174 hits. He's allowing 8.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.34. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.62 and they have given up 483 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the Rockies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 526 batters and walked 217 opposing hitters. As a team, Colorado allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.34. The Rockies pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,369 base knocks and 696 earned runs this season. They have given up 182 home runs this year, which ranks 17th in Major League Baseball. Colorado as a staff has walked 523 hitters and struck out 1,399 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.06.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .257, good for 6th in the league. The Rockies hold a .436 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 8.7 hits per contest. Nolan Arenado comes into this matchup batting .297 with an OBP of .374. He has 174 hits this year along with 109 RBI in 586 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .558 with an OPS+ of 133. David Dahl is hitting .276 this season and he has an OBP of .326. He has collected 68 hits in 246 at bats while driving in 48 runs. He has an OPS+ of 115 and a slugging percentage of .541. The Rockies as a unit have 1,414 base hits, including 280 doubles and 208 homers. Colorado has walked 503 times this year and they have struck out on 1,391 occasions. They have had 1,061 men left on base and have an OPS of .758. They have scored 4.8 runs per game and totaled 778 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Brewers/Rockies MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Brewers +129

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