Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds 4/2/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Monday, April 2, 2018

Great American Ball Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Tyler Chatwood vs. Tyler Mahle

Great American Ball Park is the site of the matchup between the Chicago Cubs and the Cincinnati Reds on Monday, April 2, 2018. The probable starting pitchers are Tyler Chatwood for the Cubs and Tyler Mahle for the Reds.

Chicago opens at -145 while Cincinnati opens at +135. The Cubs had a 79-85-8 over/under record and a 76-96-0 run line mark last year. The Reds were 84-78-0 against the run line and had a 83-74-5 over/under record.

Valuable Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Chicago Cubs were 79-85-8 against the over/under last season

The Chicago Cubs were 76-96-0 against the run line last year

Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds were 83-74-5 against the over/under last season

The Cincinnati Reds were 84-78-0 against the run line last year

Key Chicago Cubs Injuries

03/26/18 P Drew Smyly Elbow 60-day DL (02/16)

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

03/30/18 P Michael Lorenzen Shoulder 10-day DL (03/29)
03/30/18 P David Hernandez Shoulder 10-day DL (03/29)
03/29/18 P Raisel Iglesias Paternity List is out indefinitely
03/26/18 P Rookie Davis Hip 60-day DL (03/02)
03/26/18 P Anthony DeSclafani Oblique 60-day DL (03/29)
03/26/18 P Brandon Finnegan Biceps 10-day DL (03/29)
03/26/18 P Kevin Shackelford Forearm 10-day DL (03/29)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Cubs had a 92-70 overall record last season. Starting pitcher Tyler Chatwood had a 8-15 record with an earned run average of 4.69 and a WHIP of 1.44. He had 120 strikeouts over his 147.2 innings pitched and he gave up 136 hits. He allowed 8.3 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 4.94. The bullpen had an earned run average of 3.80 and they gave up 460 base hits on the year. Teams hit .222 against the bullpen and they struck out 620 hitters while walking 264 batters. As a team, Chicago allowed 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They were 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.95. The Cubs pitchers collectively gave up 1,294 base hits and 636 earned runs last year. They allowed 194 home runs last season, ranking them 16th in the league. Chicago as a pitching staff walked 554 batters and struck out 1,439. They walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.28 and their FIP as a unit was 4.20.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Chicago hit .255, good for 16th in the league. The Cubs held a .437 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which was good for 4th in baseball. They ranked 16th in MLB with 8.7 hits per game. Kris Bryant hit .295 with an on-base percentage of .409 last year. He had 162 hits last season in 549 at bats with 73 runs batted in. He had a slugging percentage of .537 and an OPS+ of 143. Anthony Rizzo hit .273 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .392. He totaled 156 hits and he drove in 109 men in 572 at bats. His OPS+ was 132 while his slugging percentage was at .507. The Cubs had 1,402 hits last season, including 274 doubles and 223 home runs. Chicago walked 622 times last year and they struck out 1,401 times as a unit. They left 1,147 men on base and had a team OPS of .775. They scored 5.07 runs per contest and scored a total of 822 runs last year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati had a 68-94 overall mark last year. With an earned run average of 2.70, Tyler Mahle had a 1-2 record and a 1.50 WHIP. He had 14 strikeouts over the 20 innings he pitched. He also gave up 19 hits. He allowed 8.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 4.01. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.65 and they gave up 573 base hits on the year. Teams hit .244 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers struck out 591 batters and walked 279 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allowed 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine innings. They were 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.17. The Reds pitchers as a team surrendered 1,442 base knocks and 821 earned runs last season. They gave up 248 home runs last year, which ranked 1st in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff walked 631 hitters and struck out 1,300 batters. They gave up a walk 4 times per 9 innings while they struck out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.45 while their FIP as a staff was 5.08.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they batted .253, good for 18th in the league. The Reds held a .433 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which was good for 12th in baseball. They ranked 18th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Adam Duvall comes into this matchup after batting .249 with an OBP of .301 last season. He had 146 hits last year along with 99 RBI in 587 AB's. He maintained a slugging percentage of .480 with an OPS+ of 100. Joey Votto hit .320 last season and he had an OBP of .454. He collected 179 hits in 559 at bats while driving in 100 runs. He had an OPS+ of 168 and a slugging percentage of .578. The Reds as a unit had 1,390 base hits last season, including 249 doubles and 219 homers. Cincinnati walked 565 times last year and they struck out on 1,329 occasions. They left 1,135 men on base and had an OPS of .761. They scored 4.65 runs per game and totaled 753 runs last year.

Who will win tonight's Cubs/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Cubs -145

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