Cincinnati Reds at Miami Marlins 9/21/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Friday, September 21, 2018

Marlins Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Luis Castillo vs. Wei-Yin Chen

Marlins Park is the site of the matchup between the Cincinnati Reds and the Miami Marlins on Friday, September 21, 2018. The probable starting pitchers are Luis Castillo for the Reds and Wei-Yin Chen for the Marlins.

Cincinnati opens at -135 while Miami opens at +115. The Reds have a 76-71-6 over/under record and a 86-67-0 run line mark. The Marlins are 76-75-0 against the run line and have a 76-69-6 over/under record.

Valuable Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 76-71-6 against the over/under

The Cincinnati Reds are 86-67-0 against the run line

Important Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 76-69-6 against the over/under

The Miami Marlins are 76-75-0 against the run line

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

08/30/18 P Robert Stephenson Shoulder 10-day DL (08/27)
07/26/18 LF Jesse Winker Shoulder 60-day DL (07/26)
07/25/18 C Tyler Stephenson Knee 10-day DL (07/23)
07/21/18 2B Alex Blandino Knee 60-day DL (07/21)
03/26/18 P Rookie Davis Hip 60-day DL (03/02)

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

09/16/18 P Dan Straily Oblique is questionable for next scheduled start
09/16/18 P Jose Urena Hand left last game, is questionable next start
09/05/18 3B Martin Prado Abdominal 60-day DL (09/05)
09/01/18 P Pablo Lopez Shoulder is out for season
07/24/18 1B Garrett Cooper Wrist 60-day DL (07/21)
07/10/18 P Caleb Smith Back 60-day DL (06/25)
06/16/18 P Chris O'Grady Shoulder 60-day DL (04/17)
03/30/18 P Brett Graves Oblique 60-day DL (03/29)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Reds have a 65-88 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Luis Castillo has a 10-12 record with an earned run average of 4.52 and a WHIP of 1.25 this year. He has 160 strikeouts over his 161.1 innings pitched and he's given up 153 hits. He's allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.41. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.17 and they have given up 553 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the bullpen and they've struck out 505 hitters and walked 238 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.9 batters per nine innings. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.7. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 1,411 base hits and 710 earned runs. They have allowed 219 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 514 batters and struck out 1,191. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.42 and their FIP as a unit is 4.71.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Cincinnati is hitting .257, good for 5th in the league. The Reds hold a .405 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Scooter Gennett is hitting .317 with an on-base percentage of .365. He has 176 hits this season in 556 at bats with 88 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .495 and an OPS+ of 128. Jose Peraza is hitting .290 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .329. He has totaled 174 hits and he has driven in 56 men in 599 at bats. His OPS+ is 99 while his slugging percentage is at .421. The Reds have 1,344 hits, including 245 doubles and 163 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 535 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,292 times as a unit. They have left 1,121 men on base and have a team OPS of .736. They score 4.41 runs per contest and have scored a total of 675 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami has a 59-92 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.93, Wei-Yin Chen has a 6-11 record and a 1.35 WHIP this season. He has 102 strikeouts over the 122.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 121 hits. He allows 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.6. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.42 and they have given up 597 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .264 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 516 batters and walked 263 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.86. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,315 base knocks and 730 earned runs this season. They have given up 185 home runs this year, which ranks 10th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 563 hitters and struck out 1,177 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 4.59.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .238, good for 26th in the league. The Marlins hold a .360 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .304, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 24th in MLB with 8.1 hits per contest. Brian Anderson comes into this matchup batting .268 with an OBP of .351. He has 150 hits this year along with 59 RBI in 560 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .391 with an OPS+ of 112. Starlin Castro is hitting .281 this season and he has an OBP of .332. He has collected 159 hits in 566 at bats while driving in 54 runs. He has an OPS+ of 110 and a slugging percentage of .406. The Marlins as a unit have 1,225 base hits, including 208 doubles and 124 homers. Miami has walked 430 times this year and they have struck out on 1,298 occasions. They have had 1,053 men left on base and have an OPS of .664. They have scored 3.69 runs per game and totaled 557 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Reds/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Marlins +115

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