Cincinnati Reds at Minnesota Twins 4/27/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Friday, April 27, 2018

Target Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Luis Castillo vs. Phil Hughes

The Cincinnati Reds visit Target Field on Friday, April 27, 2018 to play the Minnesota Twins. The probable starters are Luis Castillo for the Reds and Phil Hughes for the Twins.

The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at +108 and Minnesota at -118. The Reds have a 10-14-0 over/under record and a 11-13-0 run line mark. The Twins are 11-8-0 against the run line and have a 10-9-0 over/under record.

Valuable Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 10-14-0 against the over/under

The Cincinnati Reds are 11-13-0 against the run line

Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 10-9-0 against the over/under

The Minnesota Twins are 11-8-0 against the run line

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

03/30/18 P Michael Lorenzen Shoulder 10-day DL (03/29)
03/30/18 P David Hernandez Shoulder 10-day DL (03/29)
03/26/18 P Rookie Davis Hip 60-day DL (03/02)
03/26/18 P Anthony DeSclafani Oblique 60-day DL (03/29)

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

04/18/18 CF Byron Buxton Migraine 10-day DL (04/15)
03/29/18 P Ervin Santana Finger 10-day DL (03/29)
03/28/18 SS Jorge Polanco Suspension 80-game suspension (eligible to return 06/30 vs Chicago Cubs)
03/26/18 P Michael Pineda Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Trevor May Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Reds have a 5-19 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Luis Castillo has a 1-3 record with an earned run average of 6.51 and a WHIP of 1.45 this season. He has 24 strikeouts over his 27.2 innings pitched and he's given up 29 hits. He's allowed 9.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.34 and they have given up 83 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the bullpen and they've struck out 78 hitters and walked 46 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.36. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 212 base hits and 126 earned runs. They have allowed 38 home runs this season, ranking them 2nd in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 98 batters and struck out 183. They have walked 4.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.47 and their FIP as a unit is 5.16.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Cincinnati is hitting .231, good for 23rd in the league. The Reds hold a .333 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312, which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 7.8 hits per game. Scooter Gennett is hitting .283 with an on-base percentage of .324. He has 28 hits this season in 99 at bats with 13 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .404 and an OPS+ of 100. Joey Votto is hitting .256 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .363. He has totaled 22 hits and he has driven in 10 men in 86 at bats. His OPS+ is 95 while his slugging percentage is at .337. The Reds have 187 hits, including 32 doubles and 16 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 85 times so far this season and they have struck out 207 times as a unit. They have left 178 men on base and have a team OPS of .645. They score 3.5 runs per contest and have scored a total of 84 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Minnesota has a 8-11 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.40, Phil Hughes has a 0-0 record and a 2.10 WHIP. He has 2 strikeouts over the 3.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 5 hits. He's allowing 13.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 7.69. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.55 and they have given up 81 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .274 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 79 batters and walked 34 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.98. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 169 base knocks and 96 earned runs this season. They have given up 28 home runs this year, which ranks 9th in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 82 hitters and struck out 183 batters. They give up a walk 4.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.45 while their FIP as a staff is 4.72.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .231, good for 21st in the league. The Twins hold a .382 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 15th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Brian Dozier comes into this matchup batting .277 with an OBP of .348. He has 23 hits this year along with 10 RBI in 83 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .470 with an OPS+ of 127. Joe Mauer is hitting .306 this season and he has an OBP of .456. He has collected 19 hits in 62 at bats while driving in 6 runs. He has an OPS+ of 144 and a slugging percentage of .403. The Twins as a unit have 155 base hits, including 39 doubles and 20 homers. Minnesota has walked 72 times this year and they have struck out on 184 occasions. They have had 145 men left on base and have an OPS of .689. They have scored 4 runs per game and totaled 76 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Reds/Twins MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Reds +108

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Josh Schonwald