Cincinnati Reds at Minnesota Twins 4/29/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Sunday, April 29, 2018

Target Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Tyler Mahle vs. Jose Berrios

The Cincinnati Reds visit Target Field on Sunday, April 29, 2018 to play the Minnesota Twins. The probable starters are Tyler Mahle for the Reds and Jose Berrios for the Twins.

The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at +165 and Minnesota at -175. The Reds have a 12-14-0 over/under record and a 12-14-0 run line mark. The Twins are 12-9-0 against the run line and have a 11-10-0 over/under record.

Valuable Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 12-14-0 against the over/under

The Cincinnati Reds are 12-14-0 against the run line

Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 11-10-0 against the over/under

The Minnesota Twins are 12-9-0 against the run line

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

03/30/18 P Michael Lorenzen Shoulder 10-day DL (03/29)
03/30/18 P David Hernandez Shoulder 10-day DL (03/29)
03/26/18 P Rookie Davis Hip 60-day DL (03/02)
03/26/18 P Anthony DeSclafani Oblique 60-day DL (03/29)

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

04/18/18 CF Byron Buxton Migraine 10-day DL (04/15)
03/29/18 P Ervin Santana Finger 10-day DL (03/29)
03/28/18 SS Jorge Polanco Suspension 80-game suspension (eligible to return 06/30 vs Chicago Cubs)
03/26/18 P Michael Pineda Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Trevor May Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Reds have a 6-20 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Tyler Mahle has a 1-3 record with an earned run average of 5.00 and a WHIP of 1.41 this season. He has 31 strikeouts over his 27 innings pitched and he's given up 29 hits. He's allowed 9.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.36. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.23 and they have given up 97 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the bullpen and they've struck out 90 hitters and walked 51 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.7 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.53. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 239 base hits and 141 earned runs. They have allowed 42 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 106 batters and struck out 196. They have walked 4.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.50 and their FIP as a unit is 5.21.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Cincinnati is hitting .240, good for 18th in the league. The Reds hold a .356 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 17th in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Joey Votto is hitting .280 with an on-base percentage of .393. He has 26 hits this season in 93 at bats with 14 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .430 and an OPS+ of 128. Scooter Gennett is hitting .298 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .348. He has totaled 31 hits and he has driven in 14 men in 104 at bats. His OPS+ is 110 while his slugging percentage is at .413. The Reds have 213 hits, including 38 doubles and 20 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 95 times so far this season and they have struck out 225 times as a unit. They have left 196 men on base and have a team OPS of .676. They score 3.96 runs per contest and have scored a total of 103 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Minnesota has a 8-13 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.84, Jose Berrios has a 2-2 record and a 0.76 WHIP. He has 36 strikeouts over the 31.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 21 hits. He's allowing 6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.51. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.50 and they have given up 100 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .296 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 86 batters and walked 38 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.33. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 194 base knocks and 113 earned runs this season. They have given up 32 home runs this year, which ranks 7th in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 91 hitters and struck out 203 batters. They give up a walk 4.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.50 while their FIP as a staff is 4.79.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .238, good for 19th in the league. The Twins hold a .397 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Joe Mauer comes into this matchup batting .290 with an OBP of .449. He has 20 hits this year along with 6 RBI in 69 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .377 with an OPS+ of 135. Brian Dozier is hitting .275 this season and he has an OBP of .353. He has collected 25 hits in 91 at bats while driving in 10 runs. He has an OPS+ of 125 and a slugging percentage of .462. The Twins as a unit have 177 base hits, including 45 doubles and 24 homers. Minnesota has walked 82 times this year and they have struck out on 205 occasions. They have had 163 men left on base and have an OPS of .712. They have scored 4.19 runs per game and totaled 88 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Reds/Twins MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Reds +165

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