Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins 9/27/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Thursday, September 27, 2018

Target Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Francisco Liriano vs. Stephen Gonsalves

The Detroit Tigers head to Target Field on Thursday, September 27, 2018 to take on the Minnesota Twins. The expected starting pitchers are Francisco Liriano for the Tigers and Stephen Gonsalves for the Twins.

The odds for this matchup have Detroit at +135 and Minnesota at -160. The Tigers have a 66-83-8 over/under mark and a 80-77-0 run line record. The Twins are 81-75-0 against the run line and have a 75-77-4 over/under record.

Valuable Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Detroit Tigers are 66-83-8 against the over/under

The Detroit Tigers are 80-77-0 against the run line

Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 75-77-4 against the over/under

The Minnesota Twins are 81-75-0 against the run line

Key Detroit Tigers Injuries

09/21/18 P Michael Fulmer Knee is out for season
08/31/18 SS Jose Iglesias Abdominal 60-day DL (08/30)
08/15/18 P Artie Lewicki Elbow 60-day DL (08/14)
08/09/18 1B John Hicks Groin 60-day DL (08/07)
06/14/18 1B Miguel Cabrera Biceps is out for season
05/31/18 P Ryan Carpenter Oblique 10-day DL (05/31)

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

09/23/18 LF Eddie Rosario Quad is out for season
09/01/18 P Adalberto Mejia Wrist 60-day DL (08/10)
08/19/18 P Ervin Santana Finger 60-day DL (08/19)
07/14/18 P Aaron Slegers Shoulder 10-day DL (07/11)
06/10/18 C Jason Castro Knee is out for season
03/26/18 P Michael Pineda Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Trevor May Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Tigers have a 64-93 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Francisco Liriano has a 5-11 record with an earned run average of 4.40 and a WHIP of 1.49 this year. He has 105 strikeouts over his 131 innings pitched and he's given up 124 hits. He allows 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.18. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.44 and they have given up 551 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the bullpen and they've struck out 489 hitters and walked 211 batters. As a team, Detroit allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.6 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.47. The Tigers pitchers collectively have given up 1,366 base hits and 688 earned runs. They have allowed 206 home runs this season, ranking them 4th in the league. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 471 batters and struck out 1,167. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.33 and their FIP as a unit is 4.55.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Detroit is hitting .242, good for 22nd in the league. The Tigers hold a .382 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .300, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Nick Castellanos is hitting .301 with an on-base percentage of .357. He has 181 hits this season in 601 at bats with 87 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .502 and an OPS+ of 132. Victor Martinez is hitting .251 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .297. He has totaled 117 hits and he has driven in 54 men in 467 at bats. His OPS+ is 77 while his slugging percentage is at .353. The Tigers have 1,289 hits, including 282 doubles and 133 home runs. Detroit has walked 410 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,294 times as a unit. They have left 1,032 men on base and have a team OPS of .682. They score 3.9 runs per contest and have scored a total of 613 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Minnesota has a 72-84 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.75, Stephen Gonsalves has a 1-2 record and a 2.02 WHIP this season. He has 14 strikeouts over the 21.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 25 hits. He allows 10.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.73. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.57 and they have given up 598 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .259 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 585 batters and walked 212 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.56. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,383 base knocks and 704 earned runs this season. They have given up 196 home runs this year, which ranks 9th in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 548 hitters and struck out 1,318 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 4.44.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .247, good for 17th in the league. The Twins hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315, which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 15th in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Joe Mauer comes into this matchup batting .278 with an OBP of .346. He has 128 hits this year along with 46 RBI in 461 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .375 with an OPS+ of 97. Max Kepler is hitting .222 this season and he has an OBP of .318. He has collected 115 hits in 517 at bats while driving in 53 runs. He has an OPS+ of 95 and a slugging percentage of .404. The Twins as a unit have 1,317 base hits, including 301 doubles and 161 homers. Minnesota has walked 503 times this year and they have struck out on 1,281 occasions. They have had 1,041 men left on base and have an OPS of .717. They have scored 4.43 runs per game and totaled 691 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Tigers/Twins MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Tigers +135

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