Dodgers at Braves NLDS Game 4 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Monday, October 8, 2018

SunTrust Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Rich Hill vs. Mike Foltynewicz

The Los Angeles Dodgers visit SunTrust Park on Monday to play the Atlanta Braves in Game 4 of the NLDS. The Braves cut the series to 2-1 after winning 6-5 in Game 3 Sunday night. The probable starters are Rich Hill for the Dodgers and Mike Foltynewicz for the Braves.

The opening line for this matchup has Los Angeles at -165 and Atlanta at +155. The Dodgers have a 71-82-9 over/under record and a 72-90-0 run line mark. The Braves are 82-82-0 against the run line and have a 78-81-5 over/under record.

Valuable Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 71-82-9 against the over/under

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 72-90-0 against the run line

Important Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 78-81-5 against the over/under

The Atlanta Braves are 82-82-0 against the run line

Key Los Angeles Dodgers Injuries

09/18/18 P Daniel Hudson Forearm 60-day DL (08/25)
09/03/18 P Brock Stewart Oblique 60-day DL (09/03)
08/18/18 P Erik Goeddel Elbow 60-day DL (08/17)
06/10/18 P Dennis Santana Rotator Cuff 60-day DL (06/05)
05/01/18 SS Corey Seager Elbow is out for season
03/30/18 P Julio Urias Shoulder 60-day DL (02/23)
03/30/18 P Tom Koehler Shoulder 60-day DL (03/26)

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

10/02/18 SS Dansby Swanson Hand is out indefinitely
09/15/18 P Luiz Gohara Shoulder 60-day DL (09/14)
08/08/18 P Max Fried Groin 10-day DL (08/08)
07/31/18 P Peter Moylan Ribs 60-day DL (07/31)
06/28/18 P Brandon McCarthy Knee 10-day DL (06/28)
06/27/18 P Darren O'Day Hamstring 60-day DL (06/27)
06/22/18 P Jose Ramirez Shoulder 60-day DL (04/18)
06/22/18 P Michael Soroka Shoulder 60-day DL (06/20)
03/30/18 P Chase Whitley Heel 10-day DL (03/26)
03/30/18 P Jacob Lindgren Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Grant Dayton Elbow 60-day DL (02/14)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Dodgers had a 92-71 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Rich Hill has a 11-5 record with an earned run average of 3.66 and a WHIP of 1.12 this year. He has 150 strikeouts over his 132.2 innings pitched and he's given up 108 hits. He allows 7.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.97. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.72 and they have given up 505 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the bullpen and they've struck out 625 hitters and walked 199 batters. As a team, Los Angeles allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.39. The Dodgers pitchers collectively have given up 1,275 base hits and 552 earned runs. They have allowed 177 home runs this season, ranking them 19th in the league. Los Angeles as a pitching staff has walked 418 batters and struck out 1,559. They have walked 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.15 and their FIP as a unit is 3.58.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Los Angeles is hitting .250, good for 15th in the league. The Dodgers hold a .441 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 14th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Cody Bellinger is hitting .260 with an on-base percentage of .344. He has 144 hits this season in 553 at bats with 74 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .467 and an OPS+ of 119. Manny Machado is hitting .298 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .367. He has totaled 187 hits and he has driven in 107 men in 628 at bats. His OPS+ is 147 while his slugging percentage is at .540. The Dodgers have 1,385 hits, including 293 doubles and 233 home runs. Los Angeles has walked 645 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,426 times as a unit. They have left 1,157 men on base and have a team OPS of .774. They score 4.93 runs per contest and have scored a total of 799 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Atlanta had a 90-72 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.85, Mike Foltynewicz has a 13-10 record and a 1.08 WHIP this year. He has 202 strikeouts over the 183 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 130 hits. He allows 6.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP is at 3.38. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.15 and they have given up 505 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 556 batters and walked 273 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 7.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.75. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,236 base knocks and 607 earned runs this season. They have given up 153 home runs this year, which ranks 28th in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 635 hitters and struck out 1,423 batters. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.28 while their FIP as a staff is 3.99.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .257, good for 5th in the league. The Braves hold a .417 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. Nick Markakis comes into this matchup batting .297 with an OBP of .366. He has 185 hits this year along with 93 RBI in 623 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .440 with an OPS+ of 117. Ozzie Albies is hitting .261 this season and he has an OBP of .305. He has collected 167 hits in 639 at bats while driving in 72 runs. He has an OPS+ of 102 and a slugging percentage of .452. The Braves as a unit have 1,433 base hits, including 314 doubles and 175 homers. Atlanta has walked 511 times this year and they have struck out on 1,290 occasions. They have had 1,143 men left on base and have an OPS of .742. They have scored 4.69 runs per game and totaled 759 runs this season.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Braves +155 and over 8.5 total runs

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