Dodgers at Brewers NLCS Game 1 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Friday, October 12, 2018

Miller Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Clayton Kershaw vs. Jhoulys Chacin

Miller Park is the site of the NLCS Game 1 matchup between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Milwaukee Brewers on Friday. The Brewers are coming off a sweep of the Colorado Rockies while L.A. is coming off a 3-1 series win over Atlanta. The probable starting pitchers are Clayton Kershaw for the Dodgers and Jhoulys Chacin for the Brewers.

Los Angeles opens at -140 while Milwaukee opens at +130. The Dodgers have a 71-82-9 over/under record and a 72-90-0 run line mark. The Brewers are 90-76-0 against the run line and have a 79-84-3 over/under record.

Valuable Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 71-82-9 against the over/under

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 72-90-0 against the run line

Important Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 79-84-3 against the over/under

The Milwaukee Brewers are 90-76-0 against the run line

Key Los Angeles Dodgers Injuries

10/08/18 P Erik Goeddel Elbow 60-day DL (08/17)
09/18/18 P Daniel Hudson Forearm 60-day DL (08/25)
09/03/18 P Brock Stewart Oblique 60-day DL (09/03)
06/10/18 P Dennis Santana Rotator Cuff 60-day DL (06/05)
05/01/18 SS Corey Seager Elbow is out for season
03/30/18 P Julio Urias Shoulder 60-day DL (02/23)
03/30/18 P Tom Koehler Shoulder 60-day DL (03/26)

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

10/08/18 P Brent Suter Forearm 60-day DL (7/23)
06/01/18 C Stephen Vogt Shoulder is out for season
03/26/18 P Jimmy Nelson Shoulder 60-day DL (03/26)

Useful Pitching Statistics

Starting pitcher Clayton Kershaw has a 9-5 record with an earned run average of 2.73 and a WHIP of 1.04 this year. He has 155 strikeouts over his 161.1 innings pitched and he's given up 139 hits. He's allowed 7.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.19. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.72 and they have given up 505 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the bullpen and they've struck out 625 hitters and walked 199 batters. As a team, Los Angeles allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.39. The Dodgers pitchers collectively have given up 1,275 base hits and 552 earned runs. They have allowed 177 home runs this season, ranking them 19th in the league. Los Angeles as a pitching staff has walked 418 batters and struck out 1,559. They have walked 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.15 and their FIP as a unit is 3.58.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Los Angeles is hitting .250, good for 15th in the league. The Dodgers hold a .441 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 14th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Manny Machado is hitting .298 with an on-base percentage of .367. He has 187 hits this season in 628 at bats with 107 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .540 and an OPS+ of 147. Cody Bellinger is hitting .260 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .344. He has totaled 144 hits and he has driven in 74 men in 553 at bats. His OPS+ is 119 while his slugging percentage is at .467. The Dodgers have 1,385 hits, including 293 doubles and 233 home runs. Los Angeles has walked 645 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,426 times as a unit. They have left 1,157 men on base and have a team OPS of .774. They score 4.93 runs per contest and have scored a total of 799 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

With an earned run average of 3.56, Jhoulys Chacin has a 15-8 record and a 1.18 WHIP this season. He has 153 strikeouts over the 187 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 152 hits. He allows 7.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.99. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.47 and they have given up 522 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .226 against the Brewers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 708 batters and walked 243 opposing hitters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.75. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,256 base knocks and 605 earned runs this season. They have given up 172 home runs this year, which ranks 23rd in Major League Baseball. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 550 hitters and struck out 1,420 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 4.01.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .252, good for 13th in the league. The Brewers hold a .425 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 13th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Christian Yelich comes into this matchup batting .323 with an OBP of .400. He has 184 hits this year along with 109 RBI in 570 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .596 with an OPS+ of 163. Lorenzo Cain is hitting .308 this season and he has an OBP of .396. He has collected 165 hits in 535 at bats while driving in 37 runs. He has an OPS+ of 120 and a slugging percentage of .419. The Brewers as a unit have 1,386 base hits, including 251 doubles and 218 homers. Milwaukee has walked 537 times this year and they have struck out on 1,452 occasions. They have had 1,100 men left on base and have an OPS of .747. They have scored 4.64 runs per game and totaled 751 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Dodgers/Brewers MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Dodgers -140

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