Dodgers at Red Sox World Series Game 1 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Tuesday, October 23, 2018

Fenway Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Clayton Kershaw vs. Chris Sale

The Los Angeles Dodgers visit Fenway Park on Tuesday to play the Boston Red Sox in Game 1 of the World Series. The Red Sox beat the Astros in the ALCS while the Dodgers won a Game 7 against Milwaukee on Saturday. The probable starters are Clayton Kershaw for the Dodgers and Chris Sale for the Red Sox.

The opening line for this matchup has Los Angeles at +112 and Boston at -136. The Dodgers have a 71-82-9 over/under record and a 72-90-0 run line mark. The Red Sox are 98-73-0 against the run line and have a 83-79-9 over/under record.

Valuable Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 71-82-9 against the over/under

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 72-90-0 against the run line

Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 83-79-9 against the over/under

The Boston Red Sox are 98-73-0 against the run line

Key Los Angeles Dodgers Injuries

10/08/18 P Erik Goeddel Elbow 60-day DL (08/17)
09/18/18 P Daniel Hudson Forearm 60-day DL (08/25)
09/03/18 P Brock Stewart Oblique 60-day DL (09/03)
06/10/18 P Dennis Santana Rotator Cuff 60-day DL (06/05)
05/01/18 SS Corey Seager Elbow is out for season
03/30/18 P Tom Koehler Shoulder 60-day DL (03/26)

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

10/16/18 P Chris Sale Illness is probable next start
10/07/18 P Steven Wright Knee is out indefinitely
09/27/18 P Tyler Thornburg Shoulder is out for season
06/02/18 2B Dustin Pedroia Knee 60-day DL (05/30); is out for season
05/15/18 P Carson Smith Shoulder 60-day DL (05/15)
03/30/18 P Austin Maddox Shoulder 60-day DL (03/29)
03/26/18 SS Marco Hernandez Shoulder 60-day DL (03/29)

Useful Pitching Statistics

Starting pitcher Clayton Kershaw has a 9-5 record with an earned run average of 2.73 and a WHIP of 1.04 this season. He has 155 strikeouts over his 161.1 innings pitched and he's given up 139 hits. He's allowed 7.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.19. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.72 and they have given up 505 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the bullpen and they've struck out 625 hitters and walked 199 batters. As a team, Los Angeles allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.39. The Dodgers pitchers collectively have given up 1,275 base hits and 552 earned runs. They have allowed 177 home runs this season, ranking them 19th in the league. Los Angeles as a pitching staff has walked 418 batters and struck out 1,559. They have walked 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.15 and their FIP as a unit is 3.58.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Los Angeles is hitting .250, good for 15th in the league. The Dodgers hold a .441 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 14th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Manny Machado is hitting .298 with an on-base percentage of .367. He has 187 hits this season in 628 at bats with 107 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .540 and an OPS+ of 147. Cody Bellinger is hitting .260 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .344. He has totaled 144 hits and he has driven in 74 men in 553 at bats. His OPS+ is 119 while his slugging percentage is at .467. The Dodgers have 1,385 hits, including 293 doubles and 233 home runs. Los Angeles has walked 645 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,426 times as a unit. They have left 1,157 men on base and have a team OPS of .774. They score 4.93 runs per contest and have scored a total of 799 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

With an earned run average of 2.11, Chris Sale has a 12-4 record and a 0.86 WHIP. He has 237 strikeouts over the 158 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 102 hits. He's allowing 5.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 1.98. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.72 and they have given up 515 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 628 batters and walked 245 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.76. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,306 base knocks and 609 earned runs this season. They have given up 176 home runs this year, which ranks 20th in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 512 hitters and struck out 1,558 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.25 while their FIP as a staff is 3.82.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .268, good for 1st in the league. The Red Sox hold a .453 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.3 hits per contest. Mookie Betts comes into this matchup batting .346 with an OBP of .438. He has 180 hits this year along with 80 RBI in 520 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .640 with an OPS+ of 186. J.D. Martinez is hitting .330 this season and he has an OBP of .402. He has collected 188 hits in 569 at bats while driving in 130 runs. He has an OPS+ of 173 and a slugging percentage of .629. The Red Sox as a unit have 1,509 base hits, including 355 doubles and 208 homers. Boston has walked 569 times this year and they have struck out on 1,253 occasions. They have had 1,124 men left on base and have an OPS of .792. They have scored 5.41 runs per game and totaled 876 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Dodgers/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox -136

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