Houston Astros at Baltimore Orioles 9/28/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Friday, September 28, 2018

Oriole Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Justin Verlander vs. Yefry Ramirez

The Houston Astros visit Oriole Park on Friday, September 28, 2018 to play the Baltimore Orioles. The probable starters are Justin Verlander for the Astros and Yefry Ramirez for the Orioles.

The opening line for this matchup has Houston at -280 and Baltimore at +230. The Astros have a 69-80-9 over/under record and a 82-76-0 run line mark. The Orioles are 65-93-0 against the run line and have a 73-79-6 over/under record.

Valuable Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Houston Astros are 69-80-9 against the over/under

The Houston Astros are 82-76-0 against the run line

Important Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Baltimore Orioles are 73-79-6 against the over/under

The Baltimore Orioles are 65-93-0 against the run line

Key Houston Astros Injuries

09/23/18 P Charlie Morton Shoulder left game is questionable next start scheduled start
05/21/18 LF Derek Fisher Intestinal 10-day DL (05/20)
03/30/18 P Brady Rodgers Elbow 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Jandel Gustave Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

09/24/18 P Alex Cobb Blister is out for season
09/22/18 P Andrew Cashner Knee is questionable for next scheduled start
09/12/18 DH Mark Trumbo Knee 60-day DL (09/12)
09/12/18 P Pedro Araujo Elbow 60-day DL (09/12)
08/03/18 P Jhan Marinez Hamstring 10-day DL (08/03)
06/15/18 P Richard Bleier Shoulder 10-day DL (06/14)
05/02/18 SS Luis Sardinas Back 60-day DL (04/29)
04/25/18 P Gabriel Ynoa Shin 60-day DL (03/26)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Astros have a 100-58 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Justin Verlander has a 16-9 record with an earned run average of 2.60 and a WHIP of 0.91 this season. He has 280 strikeouts over his 208 innings pitched and he's given up 153 hits. He's allowed 6.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.85. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.00 and they have given up 380 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .212 against the bullpen and they've struck out 571 hitters and walked 132 batters. As a team, Houston allows 7.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.5 batters per nine innings. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.13. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 1,137 base hits and 494 earned runs. They have allowed 151 home runs this season, ranking them 27th in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 426 batters and struck out 1,652. They have walked 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.10 and their FIP as a unit is 3.25.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Houston is hitting .256, good for 6th in the league. The Astros hold a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.6 hits per game. Alex Bregman is hitting .289 with an on-base percentage of .395. He has 169 hits this season in 585 at bats with 103 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .538 and an OPS+ of 158. Yuli Gurriel is hitting .291 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .323. He has totaled 154 hits and he has driven in 85 men in 530 at bats. His OPS+ is 108 while his slugging percentage is at .430. The Astros have 1,364 hits, including 276 doubles and 199 home runs. Houston has walked 552 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,171 times as a unit. They have left 1,028 men on base and have a team OPS of .757. They score 4.97 runs per contest and have scored a total of 786 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Baltimore has a 46-112 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.07, Yefry Ramirez has a 1-7 record and a 1.55 WHIP. He has 58 strikeouts over the 59.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 59 hits. He's allowing 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.05. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.82 and they have given up 597 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .263 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 529 batters and walked 282 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.6 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.25. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,527 base knocks and 813 earned runs this season. They have given up 228 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 576 hitters and struck out 1,177 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.51 while their FIP as a staff is 4.97.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .240, good for 23rd in the league. The Orioles hold a .393 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .299, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 24th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Trey Mancini comes into this matchup batting .244 with an OBP of .302. He has 138 hits this year along with 57 RBI in 566 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .422 with an OPS+ of 98. Adam Jones is hitting .281 this season and he has an OBP of .313. He has collected 159 hits in 565 at bats while driving in 62 runs. He has an OPS+ of 101 and a slugging percentage of .419. The Orioles as a unit have 1,290 base hits, including 234 doubles and 187 homers. Baltimore has walked 413 times this year and they have struck out on 1,377 occasions. They have had 1,007 men left on base and have an OPS of .692. They have scored 3.87 runs per game and totaled 612 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Astros/Orioles MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Astros -280

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