Houston Astros at Baltimore Orioles 9/30/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Sunday, September 30, 2018

Oriole Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Charlie Morton vs. Sean Gilmartin

The Houston Astros visit Oriole Park on Sunday, September 30, 2018 to play the Baltimore Orioles. The probable starters are Charlie Morton for the Astros and Sean Gilmartin for the Orioles.

The opening line for this matchup has Houston at -135 and Baltimore at +115. The Astros have a 69-81-9 over/under record and a 82-77-0 run line mark. The Orioles are 66-93-0 against the run line and have a 73-80-6 over/under record.

Valuable Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Houston Astros are 69-81-9 against the over/under

The Houston Astros are 82-77-0 against the run line

Important Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Baltimore Orioles are 73-80-6 against the over/under

The Baltimore Orioles are 66-93-0 against the run line

Key Houston Astros Injuries

09/23/18 P Charlie Morton Shoulder left game is questionable next start scheduled start
05/21/18 LF Derek Fisher Intestinal 10-day DL (05/20)
03/30/18 P Brady Rodgers Elbow 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Jandel Gustave Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

09/24/18 P Alex Cobb Blister is out for season
09/22/18 P Andrew Cashner Knee is questionable for next scheduled start
09/12/18 DH Mark Trumbo Knee 60-day DL (09/12)
09/12/18 P Pedro Araujo Elbow 60-day DL (09/12)
08/03/18 P Jhan Marinez Hamstring 10-day DL (08/03)
06/15/18 P Richard Bleier Shoulder 10-day DL (06/14)
05/02/18 SS Luis Sardinas Back 60-day DL (04/29)
04/25/18 P Gabriel Ynoa Shin 60-day DL (03/26)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Astros have a 101-58 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Charlie Morton has a 15-3 record with an earned run average of 3.18 and a WHIP of 1.17 this season. He has 197 strikeouts over his 164 innings pitched and he's given up 129 hits. He's allowed 7.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.63. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.98 and they have given up 381 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .212 against the bullpen and they've struck out 574 hitters and walked 132 batters. As a team, Houston allows 7.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.4 batters per nine innings. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.12. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 1,143 base hits and 495 earned runs. They have allowed 151 home runs this season, ranking them 28th in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 427 batters and struck out 1,659. They have walked 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.10 and their FIP as a unit is 3.24.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Houston is hitting .256, good for 6th in the league. The Astros hold a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.6 hits per game. Alex Bregman is hitting .289 with an on-base percentage of .395. He has 170 hits this season in 589 at bats with 103 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .537 and an OPS+ of 157. Yuli Gurriel is hitting .291 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .323. He has totaled 154 hits and he has driven in 85 men in 530 at bats. His OPS+ is 108 while his slugging percentage is at .430. The Astros have 1,369 hits, including 276 doubles and 200 home runs. Houston has walked 556 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,176 times as a unit. They have left 1,034 men on base and have a team OPS of .756. They score 4.96 runs per contest and have scored a total of 788 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Baltimore has a 46-113 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.88, Sean Gilmartin has a 1-0 record and a 1.20 WHIP. He has 13 strikeouts over the 25 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 20 hits. He's allowing 7.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.64. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.82 and they have given up 599 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .263 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 530 batters and walked 284 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.6 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.22. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,532 base knocks and 815 earned runs this season. They have given up 229 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 580 hitters and struck out 1,182 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.50 while their FIP as a staff is 4.98.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .239, good for 25th in the league. The Orioles hold a .392 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .298, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 24th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Trey Mancini comes into this matchup batting .242 with an OBP of .300. He has 138 hits this year along with 57 RBI in 570 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .419 with an OPS+ of 98. Adam Jones is hitting .281 this season and he has an OBP of .313. He has collected 160 hits in 569 at bats while driving in 63 runs. He has an OPS+ of 102 and a slugging percentage of .420. The Orioles as a unit have 1,296 base hits, including 236 doubles and 187 homers. Baltimore has walked 414 times this year and they have struck out on 1,384 occasions. They have had 1,012 men left on base and have an OPS of .690. They have scored 3.86 runs per game and totaled 613 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Astros/Orioles MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Astros -135

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