Miami Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers 4/22/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Sunday, April 22, 2018

Miller Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Caleb Smith vs. Junior Guerra

The Miami Marlins visit Miller Park on Sunday, April 22, 2018 to play the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable starters are Caleb Smith for the Marlins and Junior Guerra for the Brewers.

The opening line for this matchup has Miami at +185 and Milwaukee at -200. The Marlins have a 11-8-0 over/under record and a 6-13-0 run line mark. The Brewers are 12-9-0 against the run line and have a 9-12-0 over/under record.

Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 11-8-0 against the over/under

The Miami Marlins are 6-13-0 against the run line

Important Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 9-12-0 against the over/under

The Milwaukee Brewers are 12-9-0 against the run line

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

04/21/18 2B Mason Davis Forearm 7-day DL (04/21)
04/20/18 P Chris O'Grady Shoulder 10-day DL (04/17)
04/14/18 1B Garrett Cooper Wrist 60-day DL (04/02)
03/30/18 P Brett Graves Oblique 60-day DL (03/29)
03/26/18 P Dan Straily Forearm 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Elieser Hernandez Dental 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 SS JT Riddle Shoulder 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 3B Martin Prado Knee 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Wei-Yin Chen Elbow 10-day DL (03/26)

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

04/20/18 SS Orlando Arcia Ankle is not in the starting lineup Saturday vs Miami Marlins
04/19/18 C Manny Pina Calf 10-day DL (04/13)
04/06/18 P Corey Knebel Hamstring 10-day DL (04/06)
03/29/18 P Boone Logan Triceps 10-day DL (03/26)
03/29/18 C Stephen Vogt Shoulder 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Jimmy Nelson Shoulder 60-day DL (03/26)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 5-14 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Caleb Smith has a 0-2 record with an earned run average of 6.89 and a WHIP of 1.98 this season. He has 22 strikeouts over his 15.2 innings pitched and he's given up 16 hits. He's allowed 9.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.7. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.62 and they have given up 91 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .261 against the bullpen and they've struck out 100 hitters and walked 38 batters. As a team, Miami allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.63. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 180 base hits and 112 earned runs. They have allowed 26 home runs this season, ranking them 7th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 91 batters and struck out 177. They have walked 4.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.51 and their FIP as a unit is 4.78.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .223, good for 24th in the league. The Marlins hold a .305 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .297, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 7.8 hits per game. Derek Dietrich is hitting .262 with an on-base percentage of .319. He has 22 hits this season in 84 at bats with 5 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .333 and an OPS+ of 89. Starlin Castro is hitting .276 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .337. He has totaled 21 hits and he has driven in 7 men in 76 at bats. His OPS+ is 87 while his slugging percentage is at .303. The Marlins have 149 hits, including 18 doubles and 11 home runs. Miami has walked 61 times so far this season and they have struck out 176 times as a unit. They have left 140 men on base and have a team OPS of .603. They score 3.26 runs per contest and have scored a total of 62 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Milwaukee has a 12-9 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 0.82, Junior Guerra has a 1-0 record and a 0.91 WHIP. He has 11 strikeouts over the 11 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 5 hits. He's allowing 4.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.78. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.89 and they have given up 63 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .206 against the Brewers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 99 batters and walked 35 opposing hitters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 7.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.46. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 165 base knocks and 74 earned runs this season. They have given up 20 home runs this year, which ranks 15th in Major League Baseball. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 76 hitters and struck out 185 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.25 while their FIP as a staff is 3.94.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .248, good for 10th in the league. The Brewers hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Christian Yelich comes into this matchup batting .382 with an OBP of .488. He has 13 hits this year along with 6 RBI in 34 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .588 with an OPS+ of 196. Lorenzo Cain is hitting .304 this season and he has an OBP of .402. He has collected 21 hits in 69 at bats while driving in 7 runs. He has an OPS+ of 143 and a slugging percentage of .478. The Brewers as a unit have 180 base hits, including 36 doubles and 25 homers. Milwaukee has walked 69 times this year and they have struck out on 196 occasions. They have had 158 men left on base and have an OPS of .722. They have scored 4 runs per game and totaled 84 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Brewers MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers -200

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