Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies 9/15/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Saturday, September 15, 2018

Citizens Bank Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Elieser Hernandez vs. Vince Velasquez

The Miami Marlins head to Citizens Bank Park on Saturday, September 15, 2018 to take on the Philadelphia Phillies. The expected starting pitchers are Elieser Hernandez for the Marlins and Vince Velasquez for the Phillies.

The odds for this matchup have Miami at +142 and Philadelphia at -152. The Marlins have a 72-68-6 over/under mark and a 73-73-0 run line record. The Phillies are 69-76-0 against the run line and have a 64-74-7 over/under record.

Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 72-68-6 against the over/under

The Miami Marlins are 73-73-0 against the run line

Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 64-74-7 against the over/under

The Philadelphia Phillies are 69-76-0 against the run line

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

09/09/18 P Dan Straily Oblique is downgraded to doubtful for next scheduled start
09/05/18 3B Martin Prado Abdominal 60-day DL (09/05)
09/01/18 P Pablo Lopez Shoulder is out for season
07/24/18 1B Garrett Cooper Wrist 60-day DL (07/21)
07/10/18 P Caleb Smith Back 60-day DL (06/25)
06/16/18 P Chris O'Grady Shoulder 60-day DL (04/17)
03/30/18 P Brett Graves Oblique 60-day DL (03/29)

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

09/12/18 3B Maikel Franco Shoulder is questionable Friday vs Philadelphia Phillies
08/16/18 P Aaron Loup Forearm 10-day DL (08/16)
05/08/18 P Adam Morgan Back 10-day DL (05/08)
04/27/18 P Ben Lively Back 10-day DL (04/27)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 57-89 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Elieser Hernandez has a 2-7 record with an earned run average of 5.25 and a WHIP of 1.44 this year. He has 43 strikeouts over his 61.2 innings pitched and he's given up 64 hits. He allows 9.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.18. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.39 and they have given up 573 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .264 against the bullpen and they've struck out 488 hitters and walked 253 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.82. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 1,270 base hits and 701 earned runs. They have allowed 176 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 543 batters and struck out 1,132. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.57.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .238, good for 26th in the league. The Marlins hold a .360 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .304, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Brian Anderson is hitting .272 with an on-base percentage of .355. He has 149 hits this season in 548 at bats with 59 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .398 and an OPS+ of 115. Starlin Castro is hitting .284 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .334. He has totaled 156 hits and he has driven in 51 men in 550 at bats. His OPS+ is 110 while his slugging percentage is at .405. The Marlins have 1,186 hits, including 199 doubles and 120 home runs. Miami has walked 417 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,245 times as a unit. They have left 1,022 men on base and have a team OPS of .664. They score 3.66 runs per contest and have scored a total of 535 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 74-71 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.30, Vince Velasquez has a 9-11 record and a 1.28 WHIP this season. He has 152 strikeouts over the 138 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 121 hits. He allows 7.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.71. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.96 and they have given up 470 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .243 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 511 batters and walked 190 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 3.96. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,210 base knocks and 573 earned runs this season. They have given up 155 home runs this year, which ranks 22nd in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 440 hitters and struck out 1,308 batters. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.27 while their FIP as a staff is 3.84.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .237, good for 29th in the league. The Phillies hold a .396 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 8.0 hits per contest. Cesar Hernandez comes into this matchup batting .256 with an OBP of .361. He has 139 hits this year along with 49 RBI in 543 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .355 with an OPS+ of 93. Odubel Herrera is hitting .257 this season and he has an OBP of .313. He has collected 132 hits in 513 at bats while driving in 65 runs. He has an OPS+ of 95 and a slugging percentage of .427. The Phillies as a unit have 1,158 base hits, including 219 doubles and 169 homers. Philadelphia has walked 519 times this year and they have struck out on 1,360 occasions. They have had 1,007 men left on base and have an OPS of .711. They have scored 4.23 runs per game and totaled 614 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Marlins +142

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