Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies 9/16/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Sunday, September 16, 2018

Citizens Bank Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jose Urena vs. Jake Arrieta

The Miami Marlins visit Citizens Bank Park on Sunday, September 16, 2018 to play the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable starters are Jose Urena for the Marlins and Jake Arrieta for the Phillies.

The opening line for this matchup has Miami at +184 and Philadelphia at -198. The Marlins have a 73-68-6 over/under record and a 73-74-0 run line mark. The Phillies are 70-76-0 against the run line and have a 65-74-7 over/under record.

Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 73-68-6 against the over/under

The Miami Marlins are 73-74-0 against the run line

Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 65-74-7 against the over/under

The Philadelphia Phillies are 70-76-0 against the run line

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

09/09/18 P Dan Straily Oblique is downgraded to doubtful for next scheduled start
09/05/18 3B Martin Prado Abdominal 60-day DL (09/05)
09/01/18 P Pablo Lopez Shoulder is out for season
07/24/18 1B Garrett Cooper Wrist 60-day DL (07/21)
07/10/18 P Caleb Smith Back 60-day DL (06/25)
06/16/18 P Chris O'Grady Shoulder 60-day DL (04/17)
03/30/18 P Brett Graves Oblique 60-day DL (03/29)

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

09/14/18 3B Maikel Franco Shoulder is questionable Saturday vs Miami Marlins
08/16/18 P Aaron Loup Forearm 10-day DL (08/16)
05/08/18 P Adam Morgan Back 10-day DL (05/08)
04/27/18 P Ben Lively Back 10-day DL (04/27)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 57-90 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jose Urena has a 6-12 record with an earned run average of 4.29 and a WHIP of 1.20 this season. He has 122 strikeouts over his 157.1 innings pitched and he's given up 144 hits. He's allowed 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.16. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.50 and they have given up 584 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .267 against the bullpen and they've struck out 492 hitters and walked 255 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.88. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 1,288 base hits and 715 earned runs. They have allowed 181 home runs this season, ranking them 10th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 547 batters and struck out 1,140. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.60.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .238, good for 27th in the league. The Marlins hold a .360 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .304, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Starlin Castro is hitting .282 with an on-base percentage of .333. He has 156 hits this season in 553 at bats with 51 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .403 and an OPS+ of 108. Brian Anderson is hitting .272 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .355. He has totaled 149 hits and he has driven in 59 men in 548 at bats. His OPS+ is 114 while his slugging percentage is at .398. The Marlins have 1,195 hits, including 201 doubles and 121 home runs. Miami has walked 419 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,250 times as a unit. They have left 1,031 men on base and have a team OPS of .664. They score 3.65 runs per contest and have scored a total of 537 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 75-71 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.66, Jake Arrieta has a 10-9 record and a 1.24 WHIP. He has 127 strikeouts over the 159.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 146 hits. He's allowing 8.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.22. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.96 and they have given up 474 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .243 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 512 batters and walked 191 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 3.95. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,219 base knocks and 575 earned runs this season. They have given up 156 home runs this year, which ranks 23rd in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 442 hitters and struck out 1,313 batters. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.27 while their FIP as a staff is 3.84.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .239, good for 26th in the league. The Phillies hold a .400 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .317, which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 8.1 hits per contest. Odubel Herrera comes into this matchup batting .257 with an OBP of .313. He has 132 hits this year along with 65 RBI in 513 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .427 with an OPS+ of 95. Cesar Hernandez is hitting .257 this season and he has an OBP of .361. He has collected 141 hits in 548 at bats while driving in 49 runs. He has an OPS+ of 93 and a slugging percentage of .356. The Phillies as a unit have 1,176 base hits, including 222 doubles and 174 homers. Philadelphia has walked 523 times this year and they have struck out on 1,368 occasions. They have had 1,013 men left on base and have an OPS of .717. They have scored 4.3 runs per game and totaled 628 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Phillies -198

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