Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs 10/1/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Monday, October 1, 2018

Wrigley Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jhoulys Chacin vs. Jose Quintana

The Milwaukee Brewers visit Wrigley Field on Monday, October 1, 2018 to play the Chicago Cubs for the NL Central Division Title. The winner will get home field advantage throughout the National League Playoffs while the loser will have to play Tuesday in the Wild Card game. The probable starters are Jhoulys Chacin for the Brewers and Jose Quintana for the Cubs.

The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at +115 and Chicago at -130. The Brewers have a 78-80-3 over/under record and a 86-75-0 run line mark. The Cubs are 80-81-0 against the run line and have a 72-87-2 over/under record.

Valuable Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 78-80-3 against the over/under

The Milwaukee Brewers are 86-75-0 against the run line

Important Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Chicago Cubs are 72-87-2 against the over/under

The Chicago Cubs are 80-81-0 against the run line

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

07/26/18 P Brent Suter Forearm 60-day DL (7/23)
06/01/18 C Stephen Vogt Shoulder is out for season
03/26/18 P Jimmy Nelson Shoulder 60-day DL (03/26)

Key Chicago Cubs Injuries

09/22/18 SS Addison Russell Disciplinary is out indefinitely
09/18/18 P Brandon Morrow Biceps is out for season
09/06/18 RF Mark Zagunis Shoulder 60-day DL (09/04)
07/21/18 P Anthony Bass Back 10-day DL (07/21)
06/27/18 P Justin Hancock Shoulder 60-day DL (06/26)
06/24/18 P Rob Zastryzny Back 10-day DL (06/24)
05/26/18 P Yu Darvish Triceps 60-day DL (05/23)
03/26/18 P Drew Smyly Elbow 60-day DL (02/16)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Brewers have a 95-67 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jhoulys Chacin has a 15-8 record with an earned run average of 3.56 and a WHIP of 1.18 this season. He has 153 strikeouts over his 187 innings pitched and he's given up 152 hits. He's allowed 7.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.99. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.52 and they have given up 516 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .227 against the bullpen and they've struck out 695 hitters and walked 242 batters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.77. The Brewers pitchers collectively have given up 1,249 base hits and 605 earned runs. They have allowed 172 home runs this season, ranking them 23rd in the league. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 549 batters and struck out 1,410. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.25 and their FIP as a unit is 4.02.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Milwaukee is hitting .251, good for 13th in the league. The Brewers hold a .424 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 13th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Lorenzo Cain is hitting .309 with an on-base percentage of .397. He has 164 hits this season in 531 at bats with 37 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .418 and an OPS+ of 120. Christian Yelich is hitting .324 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .400. He has totaled 184 hits and he has driven in 109 men in 568 at bats. His OPS+ is 164 while his slugging percentage is at .599. The Brewers have 1,374 hits, including 248 doubles and 216 home runs. Milwaukee has walked 533 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,443 times as a unit. They have left 1,094 men on base and have a team OPS of .746. They score 4.6 runs per contest and have scored a total of 740 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Chicago has a 95-67 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.09, Jose Quintana has a 13-11 record and a 1.32 WHIP. He has 154 strikeouts over the 169.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 156 hits. He's allowing 8.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.52. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.33 and they have given up 478 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .222 against the Cubs bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 553 batters and walked 268 opposing hitters. As a team, Chicago allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.65. The Cubs pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,296 base knocks and 591 earned runs this season. They have given up 157 home runs this year, which ranks 26th in Major League Baseball. Chicago as a staff has walked 617 hitters and struck out 1,317 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.16.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .259, good for 3rd in the league. The Cubs hold a .410 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. Kris Bryant comes into this matchup batting .274 with an OBP of .374. He has 105 hits this year along with 50 RBI in 383 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .462 with an OPS+ of 119. Ben Zobrist is hitting .309 this season and he has an OBP of .380. He has collected 138 hits in 447 at bats while driving in 57 runs. He has an OPS+ of 116 and a slugging percentage of .441. The Cubs as a unit have 1,438 base hits, including 281 doubles and 165 homers. Chicago has walked 567 times this year and they have struck out on 1,372 occasions. They have had 1,214 men left on base and have an OPS of .743. They have scored 4.66 runs per game and totaled 750 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Brewers/Cubs MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Brewers +115

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