Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds 8/28/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Tuesday, August 28, 2018

Great American Ball Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Junior Guerra vs. Anthony DeSclafani

The Milwaukee Brewers visit Great American Ball Park on Tuesday, August 28, 2018 to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Junior Guerra for the Brewers and Anthony DeSclafani for the Reds.

The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at -130 and Cincinnati at +120. The Brewers have a 64-65-3 over/under record and a 70-62-0 run line mark. The Reds are 72-59-0 against the run line and have a 67-59-5 over/under record.

Valuable Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 64-65-3 against the over/under

The Milwaukee Brewers are 70-62-0 against the run line

Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 67-59-5 against the over/under

The Cincinnati Reds are 72-59-0 against the run line

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

07/26/18 P Brent Suter Forearm 60-day DL (7/23)
07/03/18 SS Nick Franklin Quad 60-day DL (05/09)
06/01/18 C Stephen Vogt Shoulder is out for season
06/01/18 P Zach Davies Rotator Cuff 10-day DL (06/01)
03/26/18 P Jimmy Nelson Shoulder 60-day DL (03/26)

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

08/17/18 1B Joey Votto Leg 10-day DL (08/16)
07/26/18 LF Jesse Winker Shoulder 60-day DL (07/26)
07/25/18 C Tyler Stephenson Knee 10-day DL (07/23)
07/21/18 2B Alex Blandino Knee 60-day DL (07/21)
03/26/18 P Rookie Davis Hip 60-day DL (03/02)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Brewers have a 73-59 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Junior Guerra has a 6-8 record with an earned run average of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.36 this season. He has 122 strikeouts over his 130.2 innings pitched and he's given up 127 hits. He's allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.24. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.79 and they have given up 423 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the bullpen and they've struck out 533 hitters and walked 200 batters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 7.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 3.89. The Brewers pitchers collectively have given up 1,039 base hits and 511 earned runs. They have allowed 149 home runs this season, ranking them 17th in the league. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 466 batters and struck out 1,143. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit is 4.17.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Milwaukee is hitting .251, good for 15th in the league. The Brewers hold a .417 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 15th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Lorenzo Cain is hitting .307 with an on-base percentage of .398. He has 132 hits this season in 430 at bats with 32 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .428 and an OPS+ of 121. Christian Yelich is hitting .309 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .372. He has totaled 143 hits and he has driven in 67 men in 463 at bats. His OPS+ is 138 while his slugging percentage is at .533. The Brewers have 1,126 hits, including 204 doubles and 169 home runs. Milwaukee has walked 415 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,198 times as a unit. They have left 892 men on base and have a team OPS of .735. They score 4.4 runs per contest and have scored a total of 581 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 56-75 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.26, Anthony DeSclafani has a 6-4 record and a 1.21 WHIP. He has 69 strikeouts over the 80.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 77 hits. He's allowing 8.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.97. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.16 and they have given up 486 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .255 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 432 batters and walked 204 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.7 batters per nine innings. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.73. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,223 base knocks and 615 earned runs this season. They have given up 188 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 443 hitters and struck out 999 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 4.74.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .257, good for 5th in the league. The Reds hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .332, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. Scooter Gennett comes into this matchup batting .308 with an OBP of .356. He has 148 hits this year along with 75 RBI in 481 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .484 with an OPS+ of 124. Jose Peraza is hitting .288 this season and he has an OBP of .330. He has collected 147 hits in 510 at bats while driving in 42 runs. He has an OPS+ of 96 and a slugging percentage of .402. The Reds as a unit have 1,154 base hits, including 213 doubles and 134 homers. Cincinnati has walked 468 times this year and they have struck out on 1,088 occasions. They have had 969 men left on base and have an OPS of .735. They have scored 4.46 runs per game and totaled 584 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Brewers/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Reds +120

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