Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates 9/21/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Friday, September 21, 2018

PNC Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jhoulys Chacin vs. Ivan Nova

The Milwaukee Brewers head to PNC Park on Friday, September 21, 2018 to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates. The expected starting pitchers are Jhoulys Chacin for the Brewers and Ivan Nova for the Pirates.

The odds for this matchup have Milwaukee at -125 and Pittsburgh at +105. The Brewers have a 72-78-3 over/under mark and a 82-71-0 run line record. The Pirates are 74-77-0 against the run line and have a 67-76-8 over/under record.

Valuable Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 72-78-3 against the over/under

The Milwaukee Brewers are 82-71-0 against the run line

Important Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 67-76-8 against the over/under

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 74-77-0 against the run line

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

09/19/18 CF Lorenzo Cain Ribs is questionable Friday vs Pittsburgh Pirates
07/26/18 P Brent Suter Forearm 60-day DL (7/23)
06/01/18 C Stephen Vogt Shoulder is out for season
03/26/18 P Jimmy Nelson Shoulder 60-day DL (03/26)

Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries

09/19/18 RF Gregory Polanco Knee 10-day DL (09/15)
06/29/18 P Chad Kuhl Forearm 60-day DL (06/27)
06/29/18 P Nik Turley Arm 60-day DL (06/29)
03/26/18 P A.J. Schugel Shoulder 60-day DL (03/26)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Brewers have a 87-66 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jhoulys Chacin has a 14-8 record with an earned run average of 3.54 and a WHIP of 1.20 this year. He has 149 strikeouts over his 178 innings pitched and he's given up 147 hits. He allows 7.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.87. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.59 and they have given up 486 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the bullpen and they've struck out 639 hitters and walked 231 batters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.77. The Brewers pitchers collectively have given up 1,193 base hits and 575 earned runs. They have allowed 164 home runs this season, ranking them 20th in the league. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 530 batters and struck out 1,339. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 4.03.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Milwaukee is hitting .250, good for 13th in the league. The Brewers hold a .419 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 13th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Jesus Aguilar is hitting .275 with an on-base percentage of .351. He has 125 hits this season in 455 at bats with 103 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .545 and an OPS+ of 136. Christian Yelich is hitting .319 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .385. He has totaled 173 hits and he has driven in 93 men in 543 at bats. His OPS+ is 152 while his slugging percentage is at .569. The Brewers have 1,299 hits, including 237 doubles and 199 home runs. Milwaukee has walked 494 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,376 times as a unit. They have left 1,032 men on base and have a team OPS of .739. They score 4.49 runs per contest and have scored a total of 687 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Pittsburgh has a 77-74 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.07, Ivan Nova has a 9-9 record and a 1.25 WHIP this season. He has 109 strikeouts over the 152.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 160 hits. He allows 9.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.54. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.07 and they have given up 480 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the Pirates bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 539 batters and walked 221 opposing hitters. As a team, Pittsburgh allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4. The Pirates pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,294 base knocks and 598 earned runs this season. They have given up 160 home runs this year, which ranks 23rd in Major League Baseball. Pittsburgh as a staff has walked 460 hitters and struck out 1,246 batters. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.01.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .254, good for 9th in the league. The Pirates hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Corey Dickerson comes into this matchup batting .294 with an OBP of .324. He has 140 hits this year along with 51 RBI in 476 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .458 with an OPS+ of 113. Starling Marte is hitting .278 this season and he has an OBP of .321. He has collected 147 hits in 529 at bats while driving in 67 runs. He has an OPS+ of 111 and a slugging percentage of .454. The Pirates as a unit have 1,298 base hits, including 268 doubles and 145 homers. Pittsburgh has walked 440 times this year and they have struck out on 1,155 occasions. They have had 1,004 men left on base and have an OPS of .724. They have scored 4.3 runs per game and totaled 649 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Brewers/Pirates MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Brewers -125

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