Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres 3/30/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Friday, March 30, 2018

Petco Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jhoulys Chacin vs. Joey Lucchesi

The Milwaukee Brewers head to Petco Park on Friday, March 30, 2018 to take on the San Diego Padres. The expected starting pitchers are Jhoulys Chacin for the Brewers and Joey Lucchesi for the Padres.

The odds for this matchup have Milwaukee at -113 and San Diego at +103. The Brewers had a 68-87-7 over/under mark and a 86-76-0 run line record last year. The Padres were 85-77-0 against the run line and had a 81-73-8 over/under record.

Valuable Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers were 68-87-7 against the over/under last year

The Milwaukee Brewers were 86-76-0 against the run line last season

Important San Diego Padres Betting Trends

The San Diego Padres were 81-73-8 against the over/under last year

The San Diego Padres were 85-77-0 against the run line last season

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

03/29/18 P Boone Logan Triceps 10-day DL (03/26)
03/29/18 C Stephen Vogt Shoulder 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Jimmy Nelson Shoulder 10-day DL (03/26)

Key San Diego Padres Injuries

03/29/18 2B Allen Cordoba Concussion 10-day DL (03/26)
03/29/18 P Dinelson Lamet Elbow 10-day DL (03/26)
03/29/18 CF Franchy Cordero Groin 10-day DL (03/26)
03/29/18 P Matt Strahm Knee 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 RF Alex Dickerson Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Colin Rea Elbow 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Robbie Erlin Elbow is out indefinitely

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Brewers had a 86-76 overall record last season. Starting pitcher Jhoulys Chacin had a 13-10 record with an earned run average of 3.89 and a WHIP of 1.27. He had 153 strikeouts over his 180.1 innings pitched and he gave up 157 hits. He allowed 7.8 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 4.26. The bullpen had an earned run average of 3.83 and they gave up 512 base hits on the year. Teams hit .237 against the bullpen and they struck out 615 hitters while walking 271 batters. As a team, Milwaukee allowed 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They were 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4. The Brewers pitchers collectively gave up 1,381 base hits and 642 earned runs last year. They allowed 185 home runs last season, ranking them 24th in the league. Milwaukee as a pitching staff walked 553 batters and struck out 1,346. They walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit was 4.24.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Milwaukee hit .249, good for 21st in the league. The Brewers held a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322, which was good for 17th in baseball. They ranked 22nd in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Lorenzo Cain hit .300 with an on-base percentage of .363 last year. He had 175 hits last season in 584 at bats with 49 runs batted in. He had a slugging percentage of .440 and an OPS+ of 112. Christian Yelich hit .282 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .369. He totaled 170 hits and he drove in 81 men in 602 at bats. His OPS+ was 117 while his slugging percentage was at .439. The Brewers had 1,363 hits last season, including 267 doubles and 224 home runs. Milwaukee walked 547 times last year and they struck out 1,571 times as a unit. They left 1,088 men on base and had a team OPS of .751. They scored 4.52 runs per contest and scored a total of 732 runs last year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

San Diego had a 71-91 overall mark last year. Joey Lucchesi is expected to make his major league debut for the Padres. The Padres bullpen had an earned run average of 4.49 and they gave up 495 base hits on the year. Teams hit .236 against the Padres bullpen. Their relievers struck out 581 batters and walked 204 opposing hitters. As a team, San Diego allowed 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They were 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.67. The Padres pitchers as a team surrendered 1,417 base knocks and 742 earned runs last season. They gave up 226 home runs last year, which ranked 5th in Major League Baseball. San Diego as a staff walked 554 hitters and struck out 1,325 batters. They gave up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they struck out 8.3 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.38 while their FIP as a staff was 4.67.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they batted .234, good for 30th in the league. The Padres held a .393 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .299, which was good for 30th in baseball. They ranked 30th in MLB with 7.7 hits per contest. Eric Hosmer comes into this matchup after batting .318 with an OBP of .385 last season. He had 192 hits last year along with 94 RBI in 603 AB's. He maintained a slugging percentage of .498 with an OPS+ of 132. Wil Myers hit .243 last season and he had an OBP of .328. He collected 138 hits in 567 at bats while driving in 74 runs. He had an OPS+ of 110 and a slugging percentage of .464. The Padres as a unit had 1,251 base hits last season, including 227 doubles and 189 homers. San Diego walked 460 times last year and they struck out on 1,499 occasions. They left 1,037 men on base and had an OPS of .692. They scored 3.73 runs per game and totaled 604 runs last year.

Who will win tonight's Brewers/Padres MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Brewers -113

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