Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox 7/28/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Saturday, July 28, 2018

Fenway Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jake Odorizzi vs. Rick Porcello

Fenway Park is the site of the matchup between the Minnesota Twins and the Boston Red Sox on Saturday, July 28, 2018. The probable starting pitchers are Jake Odorizzi for the Twins and Rick Porcello for the Red Sox.

Minnesota opens at +190 while Boston opens at -205. The Twins have a 49-49-3 over/under record and a 57-44-0 run line mark. The Red Sox are 61-43-0 against the run line and have a 49-52-3 over/under record.

Valuable Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 49-49-3 against the over/under

The Minnesota Twins are 57-44-0 against the run line

Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 49-52-3 against the over/under

The Boston Red Sox are 61-43-0 against the run line

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

07/14/18 P Aaron Slegers Shoulder 10-day DL (07/11)
07/11/18 P Addison Reed Triceps 10-day DL (07/11)
06/10/18 C Jason Castro Knee is out for season
05/31/18 CF Byron Buxton Toe 10-day DL (05/30)
03/26/18 P Michael Pineda Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Trevor May Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

07/15/18 P Eduardo Rodriguez Ankle 10-day DL (07/15)
07/08/18 C Christian Vazquez Finger 10-day DL (07/08)
06/27/18 P Steven Wright Knee 10-day DL (06/23)
06/02/18 2B Dustin Pedroia Knee 10-day DL (05/30)
05/25/18 DH Hanley Ramirez None has been released
05/15/18 P Carson Smith Shoulder 60-day DL (05/15)
03/30/18 P Austin Maddox Shoulder 60-day DL (03/29)
03/26/18 SS Marco Hernandez Shoulder 60-day DL (03/29)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Twins have a 48-53 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jake Odorizzi has a 4-6 record with an earned run average of 4.37 and a WHIP of 1.39 this year. He has 113 strikeouts over his 107 innings pitched and he's given up 103 hits. He's allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.45. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.68 and they have given up 387 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .270 against the bullpen and they've struck out 369 hitters and walked 122 batters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.44. The Twins pitchers collectively have given up 906 base hits and 450 earned runs. They have allowed 123 home runs this season, ranking them 9th in the league. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 343 batters and struck out 903. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit is 4.24.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Minnesota is hitting .246, good for 14th in the league. The Twins hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .317, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 15th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Eduardo Escobar is hitting .274 with an on-base percentage of .338. He has 101 hits this season in 368 at bats with 63 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .514 and an OPS+ of 129. Eddie Rosario is hitting .308 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .351. He has totaled 125 hits and he has driven in 62 men in 406 at bats. His OPS+ is 134 while his slugging percentage is at .517. The Twins have 854 hits, including 213 doubles and 103 home runs. Minnesota has walked 351 times so far this season and they have struck out 846 times as a unit. They have left 681 men on base and have a team OPS of .723. They score 4.56 runs per contest and have scored a total of 461 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Boston has a 71-33 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.93, Rick Porcello has a 12-4 record and a 1.24 WHIP this season. He has 121 strikeouts over the 126 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 124 hits. He allows 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.69. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.41 and they have given up 292 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .225 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 369 batters and walked 131 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 7.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.55. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 826 base knocks and 369 earned runs this season. They have given up 104 home runs this year, which ranks 25th in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 313 hitters and struck out 1,008 batters. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.22 while their FIP as a staff is 3.59.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .269, good for 1st in the league. The Red Sox hold a .456 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.3 hits per contest. J.D. Martinez comes into this matchup batting .323 with an OBP of .386. He has 120 hits this year along with 85 RBI in 372 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .640 with an OPS+ of 169. Andrew Benintendi is hitting .300 this season and he has an OBP of .385. He has collected 111 hits in 370 at bats while driving in 61 runs. He has an OPS+ of 140 and a slugging percentage of .516. The Red Sox as a unit have 972 base hits, including 221 doubles and 140 homers. Boston has walked 344 times this year and they have struck out on 796 occasions. They have had 712 men left on base and have an OPS of .793. They have scored 5.31 runs per game and totaled 552 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Twins/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Red Sox -205

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