New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds 5/7/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Monday, May 7, 2018

Great American Ball Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jacob deGrom vs. Homer Bailey

The New York Mets visit Great American Ball Park on Monday, May 7, 2018 to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Jacob deGrom for the Mets and Homer Bailey for the Reds.

The opening line for this matchup has New York at -115 and Cincinnati at +105. The Mets have a 16-14-1 over/under record and a 15-16-0 run line mark. The Reds are 16-17-0 against the run line and have a 15-18-0 over/under record.

Valuable New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 16-14-1 against the over/under

The New York Mets are 15-16-0 against the run line

Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 15-18-0 against the over/under

The Cincinnati Reds are 16-17-0 against the run line

Key New York Mets Injuries

05/03/18 P Jacob deGrom Elbow is "?" for next scheduled start Monday
04/28/18 3B David Wright Shoulder 60-day DL (03/26)
04/14/18 C Travis d'Arnaud Elbow 60-day DL (04/11)
04/13/18 C Kevin Plawecki Hand 10-day DL (04/13)
04/03/18 P Anthony Swarzak Oblique 10-day DL (04/01)
03/30/18 1B Dominic Smith Quad 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Rafael Montero Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 SS T.J. Rivera Elbow 60-day DL (02/18)

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

05/03/18 P Amir Garrett Personal is out indefinitely
03/30/18 P Michael Lorenzen Shoulder 10-day DL (03/29)
03/26/18 P Rookie Davis Hip 60-day DL (03/02)
03/26/18 P Anthony DeSclafani Oblique 60-day DL (03/29)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 17-14 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jacob deGrom has a 3-0 record with an earned run average of 1.87 and a WHIP of 0.99 this season. He has 54 strikeouts over his 43.1 innings pitched and he's given up 32 hits. He's allowed 6.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.1. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.86 and they have given up 99 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .226 against the bullpen and they've struck out 121 hitters and walked 50 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.19. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 269 base hits and 133 earned runs. They have allowed 38 home runs this season, ranking them 14th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 98 batters and struck out 304. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 3.93.

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .232, good for 25th in the league. The Mets hold a .370 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 7.9 hits per game. Todd Frazier is hitting .255 with an on-base percentage of .382. He has 27 hits this season in 106 at bats with 20 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .443 and an OPS+ of 131. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .336 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .386. He has totaled 40 hits and he has driven in 20 men in 119 at bats. His OPS+ is 169 while his slugging percentage is at .588. The Mets have 244 hits, including 46 doubles and 29 home runs. New York has walked 121 times so far this season and they have struck out 278 times as a unit. They have left 215 men on base and have a team OPS of .688. They score 4.39 runs per contest and have scored a total of 136 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 8-25 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.81, Homer Bailey has a 0-4 record and a 1.25 WHIP. He has 22 strikeouts over the 39.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 37 hits. He's allowing 8.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.68. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.96 and they have given up 118 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 115 batters and walked 57 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.6 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.18. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 298 base knocks and 168 earned runs this season. They have given up 52 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 123 hitters and struck out 245 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.44 while their FIP as a staff is 5.07.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .239, good for 19th in the league. The Reds hold a .358 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 8.1 hits per contest. Jose Peraza comes into this matchup batting .297 with an OBP of .319. He has 38 hits this year along with 10 RBI in 128 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .398 with an OPS+ of 97. Joey Votto is hitting .267 this season and he has an OBP of .394. He has collected 31 hits in 116 at bats while driving in 15 runs. He has an OPS+ of 122 and a slugging percentage of .405. The Reds as a unit have 266 base hits, including 51 doubles and 26 homers. Cincinnati has walked 129 times this year and they have struck out on 273 occasions. They have had 251 men left on base and have an OPS of .681. They have scored 3.88 runs per game and totaled 128 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Mets -115

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