New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds 5/8/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Tuesday, May 8, 2018

Great American Ball Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jason Vargas vs. Luis Castillo

The New York Mets visit Great American Ball Park on Tuesday, May 8, 2018 to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Jason Vargas for the Mets and Luis Castillo for the Reds.

The opening line for this matchup has New York at +119 and Cincinnati at -129. The Mets have a 16-15-1 over/under record and a 15-17-0 run line mark. The Reds are 16-18-0 against the run line and have a 16-18-0 over/under record.

Valuable New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 16-15-1 against the over/under

The New York Mets are 15-17-0 against the run line

Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 16-18-0 against the over/under

The Cincinnati Reds are 16-18-0 against the run line

Key New York Mets Injuries

05/07/18 P Jacob deGrom Elbow 10-day DL (05/03)
05/06/18 LF Yoenis Cespedes Hip left last game, is "?" Monday vs Cincinnati Reds
04/28/18 3B David Wright Shoulder 60-day DL (03/26)
04/14/18 C Travis d'Arnaud Elbow 60-day DL (04/11)
04/13/18 C Kevin Plawecki Hand 10-day DL (04/13)
04/03/18 P Anthony Swarzak Oblique 10-day DL (04/01)
03/30/18 1B Dominic Smith Quad 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Rafael Montero Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 SS T.J. Rivera Elbow 60-day DL (02/18)

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

05/03/18 P Amir Garrett Personal is out indefinitely
03/30/18 P Michael Lorenzen Shoulder 10-day DL (03/29)
03/26/18 P Rookie Davis Hip 60-day DL (03/02)
03/26/18 P Anthony DeSclafani Oblique 60-day DL (03/29)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 17-15 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jason Vargas has a 0-2 record with an earned run average of 16.20 and a WHIP of 3.00 this season. He has 8 strikeouts over his 8.1 innings pitched and he's given up 20 hits. He's allowed 21.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 10.84. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.84 and they have given up 101 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .225 against the bullpen and they've struck out 125 hitters and walked 51 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.15. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 277 base hits and 136 earned runs. They have allowed 40 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 103 batters and struck out 313. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 3.99.

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .230, good for 25th in the league. The Mets hold a .364 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315, which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 25th in MLB with 7.8 hits per game. Todd Frazier is hitting .248 with an on-base percentage of .370. He has 27 hits this season in 109 at bats with 21 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .431 and an OPS+ of 125. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .333 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .382. He has totaled 41 hits and he has driven in 21 men in 123 at bats. His OPS+ is 165 while his slugging percentage is at .577. The Mets have 249 hits, including 46 doubles and 29 home runs. New York has walked 124 times so far this season and they have struck out 291 times as a unit. They have left 221 men on base and have a team OPS of .680. They score 4.31 runs per contest and have scored a total of 138 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 8-26 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 7.01, Luis Castillo has a 1-4 record and a 1.67 WHIP. He has 31 strikeouts over the 34.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 44 hits. He's allowing 11.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.2. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.95 and they have given up 124 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 126 batters and walked 61 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.7 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.27. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 308 base knocks and 176 earned runs this season. They have given up 52 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 130 hitters and struck out 258 batters. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 5.00.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .239, good for 19th in the league. The Reds hold a .361 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 8.1 hits per contest. Jose Peraza comes into this matchup batting .293 with an OBP of .314. He has 39 hits this year along with 10 RBI in 133 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .398 with an OPS+ of 95. Joey Votto is hitting .289 this season and he has an OBP of .408. He has collected 35 hits in 121 at bats while driving in 19 runs. He has an OPS+ of 138 and a slugging percentage of .455. The Reds as a unit have 275 base hits, including 55 doubles and 27 homers. Cincinnati has walked 134 times this year and they have struck out on 281 occasions. They have had 261 men left on base and have an OPS of .684. They have scored 3.91 runs per game and totaled 133 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Reds -129

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