New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies 5/11/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Friday, May 11, 2018

Citizens Bank Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Steven Matz vs. Jake Arrieta

The New York Mets visit Citizens Bank Park on Friday, May 11, 2018 to play the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable starters are Steven Matz for the Mets and Jake Arrieta for the Phillies.

The opening line for this matchup has New York at +148 and Philadelphia at -158. The Mets have a 17-17-1 over/under record and a 16-19-0 run line mark. The Phillies are 18-18-0 against the run line and have a 18-15-3 over/under record.

Valuable New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 17-17-1 against the over/under

The New York Mets are 16-19-0 against the run line

Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 18-15-3 against the over/under

The Philadelphia Phillies are 18-18-0 against the run line

Key New York Mets Injuries

05/10/18 RF Jay Bruce Paternity List is out indefinitely
05/09/18 3B Todd Frazier Hamstring 10-day DL (05/08)
05/07/18 P Jacob deGrom Elbow 10-day DL (05/03)
04/28/18 3B David Wright Shoulder 60-day DL (03/26)
04/14/18 C Travis d'Arnaud Elbow 60-day DL (04/11)
04/13/18 C Kevin Plawecki Hand 10-day DL (04/13)
04/03/18 P Anthony Swarzak Oblique 60-day DL (04/01)
03/30/18 1B Dominic Smith Quad 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Rafael Montero Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 SS T.J. Rivera Elbow 60-day DL (02/18)

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

05/08/18 P Adam Morgan Back 10-day DL (05/08)
04/30/18 P Victor Arano Rotator Cuff 10-day DL (04/29)
04/29/18 SS J.P. Crawford Forearm 10-day DL (04/29)
04/27/18 P Ben Lively Back 10-day DL (04/27)
03/30/18 P Pat Neshek Shoulder 10-day DL (03/30)
03/29/18 P Mark Leiter Forearm 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Jerad Eickhoff Back 10-day DL (03/26)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 18-17 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Steven Matz has a 1-3 record with an earned run average of 4.23 and a WHIP of 1.16 this season. He has 31 strikeouts over his 27.2 innings pitched and he's given up 21 hits. He's allowed 6.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.15. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.95 and they have given up 112 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .226 against the bullpen and they've struck out 131 hitters and walked 52 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.24. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 302 base hits and 151 earned runs. They have allowed 45 home runs this season, ranking them 11th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 111 batters and struck out 328. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 4.12.

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .230, good for 24th in the league. The Mets hold a .372 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312, which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 24th in MLB with 7.8 hits per game. Yoenis Cespedes is hitting .248 with an on-base percentage of .313. He has 32 hits this season in 129 at bats with 27 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .457 and an OPS+ of 113. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .319 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .365. He has totaled 43 hits and he has driven in 22 men in 135 at bats. His OPS+ is 150 while his slugging percentage is at .541. The Mets have 272 hits, including 52 doubles and 34 home runs. New York has walked 132 times so far this season and they have struck out 321 times as a unit. They have left 240 men on base and have a team OPS of .684. They score 4.23 runs per contest and have scored a total of 148 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 21-15 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.15, Jake Arrieta has a 3-1 record and a 1.08 WHIP. He has 22 strikeouts over the 34.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 25 hits. He's allowing 6.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.69. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.27 and they have given up 102 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .217 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 133 batters and walked 63 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.5. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 279 base knocks and 126 earned runs this season. They have given up 29 home runs this year, which ranks 28th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 122 hitters and struck out 317 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 3.64.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .239, good for 20th in the league. The Phillies hold a .396 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.0 hits per contest. Cesar Hernandez comes into this matchup batting .265 with an OBP of .388. He has 35 hits this year along with 13 RBI in 132 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .409 with an OPS+ of 122. Rhys Hoskins is hitting .274 this season and he has an OBP of .420. He has collected 32 hits in 117 at bats while driving in 24 runs. He has an OPS+ of 152 and a slugging percentage of .487. The Phillies as a unit have 287 base hits, including 61 doubles and 39 homers. Philadelphia has walked 153 times this year and they have struck out on 354 occasions. They have had 249 men left on base and have an OPS of .724. They have scored 4.81 runs per game and totaled 173 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Mets +148

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