New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies 8/17/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Friday, August 17, 2018

Citizens Bank Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Noah Syndergaard vs. Aaron Nola

The New York Mets head to Citizens Bank Park on Friday, August 17, 2018 to take on the Philadelphia Phillies. The expected starting pitchers are Noah Syndergaard for the Mets and Aaron Nola for the Phillies.

The odds for this matchup have New York at +125 and Philadelphia at -135. The Mets have a 53-60-5 over/under mark and a 56-62-0 run line record. The Phillies are 61-58-0 against the run line and have a 50-63-6 over/under record.

Valuable New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 53-60-5 against the over/under

The New York Mets are 56-62-0 against the run line

Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 50-63-6 against the over/under

The Philadelphia Phillies are 61-58-0 against the run line

Key New York Mets Injuries

08/15/18 P Steven Matz Forearm 10-day DL (08/01); expected to be activated and start Thursday vs Philadelphia Phillies
08/05/18 P Anthony Swarzak Shoulder 10-day DL (08/04)
07/24/18 LF Yoenis Cespedes Heel 60-day DL (07/21); is out for season
06/22/18 P AJ Ramos Shoulder 60-day DL (05/27)
06/19/18 RF Jay Bruce Hip 10-day DL (06/18)
06/11/18 1B Adrian Gonzalez None has been released
06/10/18 CF Juan Lagares Toe is out for season
04/28/18 3B David Wright Shoulder 60-day DL (03/26)
04/14/18 C Travis d'Arnaud Elbow 60-day DL (04/11)
03/26/18 P Rafael Montero Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 SS T.J. Rivera Elbow 60-day DL (02/18)

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

07/23/18 P Edubray Ramos Knee 10-day DL (07/23)
07/10/18 CF Pedro Florimon Foot 60-day DL (07/10)
05/08/18 P Adam Morgan Back 10-day DL (05/08)
04/27/18 P Ben Lively Back 10-day DL (04/27)
03/26/18 P Jerad Eickhoff Back 60-day DL (03/26)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 51-67 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Noah Syndergaard has a 8-2 record with an earned run average of 3.22 and a WHIP of 1.22 this year. He has 100 strikeouts over his 95 innings pitched and he's given up 97 hits. He allows 9.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.66. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.89 and they have given up 414 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .258 against the bullpen and they've struck out 375 hitters and walked 181 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.35. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 1,036 base hits and 512 earned runs. They have allowed 145 home runs this season, ranking them 10th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 371 batters and struck out 1,025. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.33 and their FIP as a unit is 4.19.

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .232, good for 30th in the league. The Mets hold a .385 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 7.8 hits per game. Amed Rosario is hitting .236 with an on-base percentage of .280. He has 89 hits this season in 377 at bats with 33 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .355 and an OPS+ of 77. Brandon Nimmo is hitting .263 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .387. He has totaled 90 hits and he has driven in 39 men in 342 at bats. His OPS+ is 148 while his slugging percentage is at .503. The Mets have 919 hits, including 189 doubles and 124 home runs. New York has walked 418 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,013 times as a unit. They have left 801 men on base and have a team OPS of .697. They score 4.06 runs per contest and have scored a total of 479 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 66-53 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.28, Aaron Nola has a 13-3 record and a 1.00 WHIP this season. He has 149 strikeouts over the 154 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 111 hits. He allows 6.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.81. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.76 and they have given up 373 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 415 batters and walked 152 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.72. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 971 base knocks and 443 earned runs this season. They have given up 118 home runs this year, which ranks 27th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 353 hitters and struck out 1,066 batters. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 3.71.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .235, good for 29th in the league. The Phillies hold a .391 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 7.9 hits per contest. Odubel Herrera comes into this matchup batting .270 with an OBP of .324. He has 120 hits this year along with 62 RBI in 445 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .447 with an OPS+ of 104. Cesar Hernandez is hitting .258 this season and he has an OBP of .368. He has collected 115 hits in 446 at bats while driving in 38 runs. He has an OPS+ of 98 and a slugging percentage of .365. The Phillies as a unit have 939 base hits, including 174 doubles and 137 homers. Philadelphia has walked 447 times this year and they have struck out on 1,140 occasions. They have had 829 men left on base and have an OPS of .707. They have scored 4.32 runs per game and totaled 514 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Phillies -135

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