New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox 9/28/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Friday, September 28, 2018

Fenway Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Lance Lynn vs. Rick Porcello

Fenway Park is the site of the matchup between the New York Yankees and the Boston Red Sox on Friday, September 28, 2018. The probable starting pitchers are Lance Lynn for the Yankees and Rick Porcello for the Red Sox.

New York opens at -130 while Boston opens at +110. The Yankees have a 75-76-7 over/under record and a 80-78-0 run line mark. The Red Sox are 91-68-0 against the run line and have a 74-76-9 over/under record.

Valuable New York Yankees Betting Trends

The New York Yankees are 75-76-7 against the over/under

The New York Yankees are 80-78-0 against the run line

Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 74-76-9 against the over/under

The Boston Red Sox are 91-68-0 against the run line

Key New York Yankees Injuries

09/27/18 RF Aaron Hicks Hamstring is doubtful Thursday vs Tampa Bay Rays
09/26/18 2B Gleyber Torres Hip is questionable Thursday vs Tampa Bay Rays
09/24/18 SS Didi Gregorius Wrist is out indefinitely
09/19/18 LF Clint Frazier Concussion 60-day DL (09/19)
07/07/18 P Jonathan Loaisiga Shoulder 10-day DL (07/07)
06/10/18 P Jordan Montgomery Elbow is out for season
05/02/18 CF Jacoby Ellsbury Oblique 60-day DL (03/26)
04/04/18 P Ben Heller Elbow 60-day DL (03/27)

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

09/27/18 P Tyler Thornburg Shoulder is out for season
06/02/18 2B Dustin Pedroia Knee 60-day DL (05/30); is out for season
05/15/18 P Carson Smith Shoulder 60-day DL (05/15)
03/30/18 P Austin Maddox Shoulder 60-day DL (03/29)
03/26/18 SS Marco Hernandez Shoulder 60-day DL (03/29)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Yankees have a 97-61 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Lance Lynn has a 9-10 record with an earned run average of 4.80 and a WHIP of 1.54 this year. He has 157 strikeouts over his 153.2 innings pitched and he's given up 161 hits. He's allowed 9.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.88. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.37 and they have given up 475 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .219 against the bullpen and they've struck out 722 hitters and walked 212 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.1 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.76. The Yankees pitchers collectively have given up 1,280 base hits and 594 earned runs. They have allowed 172 home runs this season, ranking them 19th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 476 batters and struck out 1,588. They have walked 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.24 and their FIP as a unit is 3.62.

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .248, good for 15th in the league. The Yankees hold a .448 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 17th in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Giancarlo Stanton is hitting .260 with an on-base percentage of .337. He has 157 hits this season in 605 at bats with 95 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .491 and an OPS+ of 119. Miguel Andujar is hitting .295 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .327. He has totaled 164 hits and he has driven in 87 men in 556 at bats. His OPS+ is 122 while his slugging percentage is at .520. The Yankees have 1,331 hits, including 259 doubles and 256 home runs. New York has walked 612 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,375 times as a unit. They have left 1,076 men on base and have a team OPS of .776. They score 5.18 runs per contest and have scored a total of 818 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Boston has a 107-52 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.33, Rick Porcello has a 17-7 record and a 1.18 WHIP this season. He has 188 strikeouts over the 189.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 177 hits. He allows 8.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.02. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.60 and they have given up 490 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 600 batters and walked 239 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.71. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,276 base knocks and 590 earned runs this season. They have given up 169 home runs this year, which ranks 22nd in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 503 hitters and struck out 1,522 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 3.79.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .268, good for 1st in the league. The Red Sox hold a .453 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.3 hits per contest. Andrew Benintendi comes into this matchup batting .287 with an OBP of .364. He has 164 hits this year along with 86 RBI in 571 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .462 with an OPS+ of 122. J.D. Martinez is hitting .330 this season and he has an OBP of .403. He has collected 185 hits in 560 at bats while driving in 127 runs. He has an OPS+ of 174 and a slugging percentage of .629. The Red Sox as a unit have 1,480 base hits, including 345 doubles and 204 homers. Boston has walked 552 times this year and they have struck out on 1,219 occasions. They have had 1,097 men left on base and have an OPS of .791. They have scored 5.38 runs per game and totaled 855 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Yankees/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Red Sox +110

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