New York Yankees at Houston Astros 4/30/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Monday, April 30, 2018

Minute Maid Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Sonny Gray vs. Charlie Morton

The New York Yankees visit Minute Maid Park on Monday, April 30, 2018 to play the Houston Astros. The probable starters are Sonny Gray for the Yankees and Charlie Morton for the Astros.

The opening line for this matchup has New York at +128 and Houston at -138. The Yankees have a 17-8-1 over/under record and a 14-12-0 run line mark. The Astros are 15-13-0 against the run line and have a 11-15-2 over/under record.

Valuable New York Yankees Betting Trends

The New York Yankees are 17-8-1 against the over/under

The New York Yankees are 14-12-0 against the run line

Important Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Houston Astros are 11-15-2 against the over/under

The Houston Astros are 15-13-0 against the run line

Key New York Yankees Injuries

04/21/18 P Adam Warren Back 10-day DL (04/21)
04/20/18 P Luis Cessa Oblique 10-day DL (04/18)
04/17/18 P Tommy Kahnle Shoulder 10-day DL (04/16)
04/07/18 3B Brandon Drury Migraine 10-day DL (04/07)
04/04/18 P Ben Heller Elbow 60-day DL (03/27)
04/01/18 RF Billy McKinney Shoulder 10-day DL (04/01)
03/29/18 LF Clint Frazier Concussion 7-day DL (03/26)
03/29/18 1B Greg Bird Ankle 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 CF Jacoby Ellsbury Oblique 10-day DL (03/26)

Key Houston Astros Injuries

03/30/18 P Brady Rodgers Elbow 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P James Hoyt Oblique 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Jandel Gustave Elbow 10-day DL (03/26)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Yankees have a 17-9 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Sonny Gray has a 1-1 record with an earned run average of 7.71 and a WHIP of 2.14 this season. He has 19 strikeouts over his 21 innings pitched and he's given up 29 hits. He's allowed 12.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 0. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.53 and they have given up 83 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .218 against the bullpen and they've struck out 140 hitters and walked 40 batters. As a team, New York allows 7.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.3 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.77. The Yankees pitchers collectively have given up 203 base hits and 100 earned runs. They have allowed 26 home runs this season, ranking them 18th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 91 batters and struck out 273. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.23 and their FIP as a unit is 3.56.

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .264, good for 4th in the league. The Yankees hold a .472 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .350, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 9.2 hits per game. Didi Gregorius is hitting .356 with an on-base percentage of .451. He has 32 hits this season in 90 at bats with 30 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .800 and an OPS+ of . Aaron Judge is hitting .330 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .463. He has totaled 32 hits and he has driven in 18 men in 97 at bats. His OPS+ is while his slugging percentage is at .608. The Yankees have 238 hits, including 60 doubles and 40 home runs. New York has walked 120 times so far this season and they have struck out 239 times as a unit. They have left 188 men on base and have a team OPS of .822. They score 6.19 runs per contest and have scored a total of 161 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Houston has a 18-10 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 1.86, Charlie Morton has a 3-0 record and a 1.10 WHIP. He has 35 strikeouts over the 29 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 21 hits. He's allowing 6.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 0. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.77 and they have given up 59 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .206 against the Astros bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 84 batters and walked 21 opposing hitters. As a team, Houston allows 6.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.3 batters per nine innings. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 2.54. The Astros pitchers as a team have surrendered 184 base knocks and 71 earned runs this season. They have given up 26 home runs this year, which ranks 19th in Major League Baseball. Houston as a staff has walked 72 hitters and struck out 288 batters. They give up a walk 2.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.02 while their FIP as a staff is 3.25.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .258, good for 7th in the league. The Astros hold a .413 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .340, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.7 hits per contest. Jose Altuve comes into this matchup batting .351 with an OBP of .411. He has 39 hits this year along with 13 RBI in 111 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .450 with an OPS+ of . Carlos Correa is hitting .333 this season and he has an OBP of .400. He has collected 32 hits in 96 at bats while driving in 20 runs. He has an OPS+ of and a slugging percentage of .542. The Astros as a unit have 244 base hits, including 49 doubles and 31 homers. Houston has walked 115 times this year and they have struck out on 250 occasions. They have had 204 men left on base and have an OPS of .753. They have scored 4.96 runs per game and totaled 139 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Yankees/Astros MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Yankees +128

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