New York Yankees at Houston Astros 5/3/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Thursday, May 3, 2018

Minute Maid Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Masahiro Tanaka vs. Lance McCullers

The New York Yankees visit Minute Maid Park on Thursday, May 3, 2018 to play the Houston Astros. The probable starters are Masahiro Tanaka for the Yankees and Lance McCullers for the Astros.

The opening line for this matchup has New York at +133 and Houston at -143. The Yankees have a 17-11-1 over/under record and a 17-12-0 run line mark. The Astros are 16-15-0 against the run line and have a 12-17-2 over/under record.

Valuable New York Yankees Betting Trends

The New York Yankees are 17-11-1 against the over/under

The New York Yankees are 17-12-0 against the run line

Important Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Houston Astros are 12-17-2 against the over/under

The Houston Astros are 16-15-0 against the run line

Key New York Yankees Injuries

05/01/18 P Jordan Montgomery Elbow left last game, is "?" next start
04/21/18 P Adam Warren Back 10-day DL (04/21)
04/20/18 P Luis Cessa Oblique 10-day DL (04/18)
04/17/18 P Tommy Kahnle Shoulder 10-day DL (04/16)
04/07/18 3B Brandon Drury Migraine 10-day DL (04/07)
04/04/18 P Ben Heller Elbow 60-day DL (03/27)
04/01/18 RF Billy McKinney Shoulder 10-day DL (04/01)
03/29/18 LF Clint Frazier Concussion 7-day DL (03/26)
03/29/18 1B Greg Bird Ankle 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 CF Jacoby Ellsbury Oblique 10-day DL (03/26)

Key Houston Astros Injuries

03/30/18 P Brady Rodgers Elbow 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P James Hoyt Oblique 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Jandel Gustave Elbow 10-day DL (03/26)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Yankees have a 19-10 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Masahiro Tanaka has a 4-2 record with an earned run average of 4.37 and a WHIP of 1.03 this season. He has 37 strikeouts over his 35 innings pitched and he's given up 28 hits. He's allowed 7.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.14. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.15 and they have given up 91 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .216 against the bullpen and they've struck out 157 hitters and walked 43 batters. As a team, New York allows 7.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.1 batters per nine innings. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.5. The Yankees pitchers collectively have given up 220 base hits and 103 earned runs. They have allowed 26 home runs this season, ranking them 24th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 98 batters and struck out 298. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.20 and their FIP as a unit is 3.39.

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .253, good for 7th in the league. The Yankees hold a .451 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 8.7 hits per game. Didi Gregorius is hitting .333 with an on-base percentage of .424. He has 34 hits this season in 102 at bats with 30 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .735 and an OPS+ of 206. Aaron Judge is hitting .314 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .447. He has totaled 33 hits and he has driven in 18 men in 105 at bats. His OPS+ is 174 while his slugging percentage is at .571. The Yankees have 252 hits, including 64 doubles and 42 home runs. New York has walked 126 times so far this season and they have struck out 281 times as a unit. They have left 201 men on base and have a team OPS of .789. They score 5.79 runs per contest and have scored a total of 168 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Houston has a 20-11 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.71, Lance McCullers has a 4-1 record and a 1.21 WHIP. He has 44 strikeouts over the 34 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 29 hits. He's allowing 7.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.97. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.16 and they have given up 67 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .217 against the Astros bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 91 batters and walked 22 opposing hitters. As a team, Houston allows 6.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.7 batters per nine innings. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 2.58. The Astros pitchers as a team have surrendered 203 base knocks and 80 earned runs this season. They have given up 28 home runs this year, which ranks 16th in Major League Baseball. Houston as a staff has walked 75 hitters and struck out 331 batters. They give up a walk 2.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.00 while their FIP as a staff is 3.03.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .253, good for 8th in the league. The Astros hold a .402 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .334, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 13th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Jose Altuve comes into this matchup batting .344 with an OBP of .400. He has 42 hits this year along with 15 RBI in 122 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .434 with an OPS+ of 139. Carlos Correa is hitting .321 this season and he has an OBP of .394. He has collected 34 hits in 106 at bats while driving in 21 runs. He has an OPS+ of 158 and a slugging percentage of .519. The Astros as a unit have 262 base hits, including 54 doubles and 32 homers. Houston has walked 122 times this year and they have struck out on 275 occasions. They have had 219 men left on base and have an OPS of .736. They have scored 4.81 runs per game and totaled 149 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Yankees/Astros MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Yankees +133

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