Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins 4/30/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Monday, April 30, 2018

Marlins Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jake Arrieta vs. Dan Straily

The Philadelphia Phillies head to Marlins Park on Monday, April 30, 2018 to take on the Miami Marlins. The expected starting pitchers are Jake Arrieta for the Phillies and Dan Straily for the Marlins.

The odds for this matchup have Philadelphia at -146 and Miami at +136. The Phillies have a 12-11-3 over/under mark and a 11-15-0 run line record. The Marlins are 12-14-0 against the run line and have a 13-13-0 over/under record.

Valuable Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 12-11-3 against the over/under

The Philadelphia Phillies are 11-15-0 against the run line

Important Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 13-13-0 against the over/under

The Miami Marlins are 12-14-0 against the run line

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

04/27/18 P Ben Lively Back 10-day DL (04/27)
03/30/18 P Pat Neshek Shoulder 10-day DL (03/30)
03/29/18 P Mark Leiter Forearm 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Jerad Eickhoff Back 10-day DL (03/26)

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

04/28/18 1B Justin Bour Back is questionable Sunday vs Colorado Rockies
04/22/18 P Odrisamer Despaigne Forearm 10-day DL (04/20)
04/21/18 2B Mason Davis Forearm 7-day DL (04/21)
04/20/18 P Chris O'Grady Shoulder 10-day DL (04/17)
04/14/18 1B Garrett Cooper Wrist 60-day DL (04/02)
03/30/18 P Brett Graves Oblique 60-day DL (03/29)
03/26/18 P Dan Straily Forearm 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Elieser Hernandez Dental 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 SS JT Riddle Shoulder 10-day DL (03/26)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Phillies have a 16-10 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jake Arrieta has a 3-0 record with an earned run average of 1.82 and a WHIP of 0.93 this year. He has 18 strikeouts over his 24.2 innings pitched and he's given up 15 hits. He allows 5.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 0. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.97 and they have given up 70 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .208 against the bullpen and they've struck out 93 hitters and walked 41 batters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.38. The Phillies pitchers collectively have given up 204 base hits and 89 earned runs. They have allowed 19 home runs this season, ranking them 30th in the league. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 83 batters and struck out 225. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.21 and their FIP as a unit is 3.47.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Philadelphia is hitting .235, good for 22nd in the league. The Phillies hold a .377 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 7.7 hits per game. Rhys Hoskins is hitting .333 with an on-base percentage of .486. He has 27 hits this season in 81 at bats with 19 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .580 and an OPS+ of . Cesar Hernandez is hitting .293 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .421. He has totaled 27 hits and he has driven in 10 men in 92 at bats. His OPS+ is while his slugging percentage is at .402. The Phillies have 201 hits, including 42 doubles and 24 home runs. Philadelphia has walked 114 times so far this season and they have struck out 262 times as a unit. They have left 173 men on base and have a team OPS of .703. They score 4.81 runs per contest and have scored a total of 125 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami has a 8-18 overall mark this year. Dan Straily is expected to make his debut for the Marlins Monday. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.38 and they have given up 108 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 123 batters and walked 54 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.97. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 222 base knocks and 132 earned runs this season. They have given up 33 home runs this year, which ranks 9th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 118 hitters and struck out 242 batters. They give up a walk 4.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.42 while their FIP as a staff is 4.62.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .223, good for 29th in the league. The Marlins hold a .320 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .299, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 7.8 hits per contest. Starlin Castro comes into this matchup batting .301 with an OBP of .357. He has 31 hits this year along with 8 RBI in 103 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .340 with an OPS+ of . Derek Dietrich is hitting .250 this season and he has an OBP of .296. He has collected 27 hits in 108 at bats while driving in 8 runs. He has an OPS+ of and a slugging percentage of .370. The Marlins as a unit have 202 base hits, including 29 doubles and 18 homers. Miami has walked 84 times this year and they have struck out on 247 occasions. They have had 195 men left on base and have an OPS of .618. They have scored 3.27 runs per game and totaled 85 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Phillies/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Marlins +136

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