Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins 5/1/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Tuesday, May 1, 2018

Marlins Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Zach Eflin vs. Jarlin Garcia

Marlins Park is the site of the matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Miami Marlins on Tuesday, May 1, 2018. The probable starting pitchers are Zach Eflin for the Phillies and Jarlin Garcia for the Marlins.

Philadelphia opens at -110 while Miami opens at +100. The Phillies have a 13-11-3 over/under record and a 11-16-0 run line mark. The Marlins are 13-14-0 against the run line and have a 13-14-0 over/under record.

Valuable Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 13-11-3 against the over/under

The Philadelphia Phillies are 11-16-0 against the run line

Important Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 13-14-0 against the over/under

The Miami Marlins are 13-14-0 against the run line

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

04/29/18 SS J.P. Crawford Forearm 10-day DL (04/29)
04/27/18 P Ben Lively Back 10-day DL (04/27)
03/30/18 P Pat Neshek Shoulder 10-day DL (03/30)
03/29/18 P Mark Leiter Forearm 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Jerad Eickhoff Back 10-day DL (03/26)

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

04/29/18 P Dan Straily Forearm 10-day DL (03/26); expected to be activated and start Monday vs Philadelphia
04/29/18 1B Justin Bour Back is "?" Monday vs Philadelphia Phillies
04/22/18 P Odrisamer Despaigne Forearm 10-day DL (04/20)
04/21/18 2B Mason Davis Forearm 7-day DL (04/21)
04/20/18 P Chris O'Grady Shoulder 10-day DL (04/17)
04/14/18 1B Garrett Cooper Wrist 60-day DL (04/02)
03/30/18 P Brett Graves Oblique 60-day DL (03/29)
03/26/18 P Elieser Hernandez Dental 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 SS JT Riddle Shoulder 10-day DL (03/26)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Phillies have a 16-11 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Zach Eflin is expected to make his debut for Philly. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.19 and they have given up 74 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .207 against the bullpen and they've struck out 99 hitters and walked 45 batters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 7.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.59. The Phillies pitchers collectively have given up 215 base hits and 98 earned runs. They have allowed 21 home runs this season, ranking them 28th in the league. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 89 batters and struck out 235. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.24 and their FIP as a unit is 3.63.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Philadelphia is hitting .232, good for 22nd in the league. The Phillies hold a .370 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 7.6 hits per game. Rhys Hoskins is hitting .318 with an on-base percentage of .468. He has 27 hits this season in 85 at bats with 19 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .553 and an OPS+ of 185. Cesar Hernandez is hitting .284 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .415. He has totaled 27 hits and he has driven in 10 men in 95 at bats. His OPS+ is 127 while his slugging percentage is at .389. The Phillies have 206 hits, including 43 doubles and 24 home runs. Philadelphia has walked 119 times so far this season and they have struck out 275 times as a unit. They have left 181 men on base and have a team OPS of .695. They score 4.67 runs per contest and have scored a total of 126 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami has a 9-18 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 1.00, Jarlin Garcia has a 1-0 record and a 0.82 WHIP this season. He has 20 strikeouts over the 27 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 10 hits. He allows 3.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.29 and they have given up 110 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 128 batters and walked 54 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.79. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 226 base knocks and 132 earned runs this season. They have given up 33 home runs this year, which ranks 11th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 119 hitters and struck out 256 batters. They give up a walk 4.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 4.47.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .222, good for 30th in the league. The Marlins hold a .319 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .297, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 7.7 hits per contest. Starlin Castro comes into this matchup batting .292 with an OBP of .345. He has 31 hits this year along with 9 RBI in 106 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .330 with an OPS+ of 95. Derek Dietrich is hitting .241 this season and he has an OBP of .286. He has collected 27 hits in 112 at bats while driving in 8 runs. He has an OPS+ of 83 and a slugging percentage of .357. The Marlins as a unit have 207 base hits, including 29 doubles and 19 homers. Miami has walked 87 times this year and they have struck out on 253 occasions. They have had 199 men left on base and have an OPS of .616. They have scored 3.26 runs per game and totaled 88 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Phillies/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Phillies -110

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