Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins 9/4/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Tuesday, September 4, 2018

Marlins Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jake Arrieta vs. Trevor Richards

The Philadelphia Phillies visit Marlins Park on Tuesday, September 4, 2018 to play the Miami Marlins. The probable starters are Jake Arrieta for the Phillies and Trevor Richards for the Marlins.

The opening line for this matchup has Philadelphia at -143 and Miami at +133. The Phillies have a 60-70-6 over/under record and a 68-68-0 run line mark. The Marlins are 69-68-0 against the run line and have a 69-63-5 over/under record.

Valuable Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 60-70-6 against the over/under

The Philadelphia Phillies are 68-68-0 against the run line

Important Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 69-63-5 against the over/under

The Miami Marlins are 69-68-0 against the run line

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

08/16/18 P Aaron Loup Forearm 10-day DL (08/16)
05/08/18 P Adam Morgan Back 10-day DL (05/08)
04/27/18 P Ben Lively Back 10-day DL (04/27)
03/26/18 P Jerad Eickhoff Back 60-day DL (03/26)

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

09/01/18 P Pablo Lopez Shoulder is out for season
08/24/18 P Jarlin Garcia Ankle 10-day DL (08/24)
08/24/18 P Elieser Hernandez Blister 10-day DL (08/24)
07/24/18 1B Garrett Cooper Wrist 10-day DL (07/21)
07/10/18 P Caleb Smith Back 60-day DL (06/25)
07/04/18 P Sandy Alcantara Infection 10-day DL (06/30)
06/16/18 P Chris O'Grady Shoulder 60-day DL (04/17)
03/30/18 P Brett Graves Oblique 60-day DL (03/29)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Phillies have a 72-64 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jake Arrieta has a 9-9 record with an earned run average of 3.54 and a WHIP of 1.24 this season. He has 109 strikeouts over his 147.1 innings pitched and he's given up 135 hits. He's allowed 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.19. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.03 and they have given up 443 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the bullpen and they've struck out 485 hitters and walked 176 batters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 3.9. The Phillies pitchers collectively have given up 1,141 base hits and 530 earned runs. They have allowed 142 home runs this season, ranking them 24th in the league. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 410 batters and struck out 1,231. They have walked 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit is 3.78.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Philadelphia is hitting .237, good for 28th in the league. The Phillies hold a .396 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 28th in MLB with 8.0 hits per game. Cesar Hernandez is hitting .253 with an on-base percentage of .359. He has 129 hits this season in 510 at bats with 42 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .355 and an OPS+ of 92. Odubel Herrera is hitting .267 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .321. He has totaled 129 hits and he has driven in 65 men in 484 at bats. His OPS+ is 102 while his slugging percentage is at .444. The Phillies have 1,088 hits, including 204 doubles and 159 home runs. Philadelphia has walked 485 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,278 times as a unit. They have left 939 men on base and have a team OPS of .711. They score 4.28 runs per contest and have scored a total of 582 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami has a 54-83 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.26, Trevor Richards has a 3-7 record and a 1.39 WHIP. He has 103 strikeouts over the 101.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 96 hits. He's allowing 8.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.98. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.32 and they have given up 542 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .265 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 463 batters and walked 238 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.8. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,201 base knocks and 657 earned runs this season. They have given up 161 home runs this year, which ranks 14th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 512 hitters and struck out 1,067 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 4.51.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .241, good for 25th in the league. The Marlins hold a .362 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 24th in MLB with 8.3 hits per contest. Brian Anderson comes into this matchup batting .275 with an OBP of .359. He has 143 hits this year along with 58 RBI in 520 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .402 with an OPS+ of 116. Starlin Castro is hitting .289 this season and he has an OBP of .341. He has collected 150 hits in 519 at bats while driving in 50 runs. He has an OPS+ of 113 and a slugging percentage of .412. The Marlins as a unit have 1,132 base hits, including 188 doubles and 113 homers. Miami has walked 396 times this year and they have struck out on 1,154 occasions. They have had 973 men left on base and have an OPS of .670. They have scored 3.74 runs per game and totaled 512 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Phillies/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Phillies -143

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