Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets 7/11/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Wednesday, July 11, 2018

Citi Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Vince Velasquez vs. Jacob deGrom

The Philadelphia Phillies visit Citi Field on Wednesday, July 11, 2018 to play the New York Mets. The probable starters are Vince Velasquez for the Phillies and Jacob deGrom for the Mets.

The opening line for this matchup has Philadelphia at +145 and New York at -155. The Phillies have a 38-47-4 over/under record and a 42-47-0 run line mark. The Mets are 37-51-0 against the run line and have a 38-47-3 over/under record.

Valuable Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 38-47-4 against the over/under

The Philadelphia Phillies are 42-47-0 against the run line

Important New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 38-47-3 against the over/under

The New York Mets are 37-51-0 against the run line

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

07/10/18 P Vince Velasquez Elbow 10-day DL (07/01); expected to be activated and start Wednesday vs New York Mets
06/20/18 SS J.P. Crawford Hand 10-day DL (06/20)
06/16/18 P Luis Garcia Wrist 10-day DL (06/16)
05/31/18 CF Pedro Florimon Foot 10-day DL (05/30)
05/08/18 P Adam Morgan Back 10-day DL (05/08)
04/27/18 P Ben Lively Back 10-day DL (04/27)
03/26/18 P Jerad Eickhoff Back 60-day DL (03/26)

Key New York Mets Injuries

07/09/18 3B Todd Frazier Ribs 10-day DL (07/09)
06/24/18 P Jason Vargas Calf 10-day DL (06/20)
06/22/18 P AJ Ramos Shoulder 60-day DL (05/27)
06/19/18 RF Jay Bruce Hip 10-day DL (06/18)
06/11/18 1B Adrian Gonzalez None has been released
06/10/18 CF Juan Lagares Toe is out for season
05/29/18 P Noah Syndergaard Finger 10-day DL (05/26)
05/17/18 LF Yoenis Cespedes Hip 10-day DL (05/14)
04/28/18 3B David Wright Shoulder 60-day DL (03/26)
04/14/18 C Travis d'Arnaud Elbow 60-day DL (04/11)
03/26/18 P Rafael Montero Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 SS T.J. Rivera Elbow 60-day DL (02/18)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Phillies have a 50-39 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Vince Velasquez has a 5-8 record with an earned run average of 4.69 and a WHIP of 1.29 this season. He has 107 strikeouts over his 88.1 innings pitched and he's given up 80 hits. He's allowed 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.84. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.94 and they have given up 277 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .240 against the bullpen and they've struck out 315 hitters and walked 113 batters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 3.85. The Phillies pitchers collectively have given up 732 base hits and 340 earned runs. They have allowed 89 home runs this season, ranking them 25th in the league. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 265 batters and struck out 818. They have walked 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 3.65.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Philadelphia is hitting .234, good for 26th in the league. The Phillies hold a .392 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 7.8 hits per game. Cesar Hernandez is hitting .266 with an on-base percentage of .376. He has 89 hits this season in 335 at bats with 28 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .379 and an OPS+ of 107. Odubel Herrera is hitting .276 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .331. He has totaled 94 hits and he has driven in 51 men in 340 at bats. His OPS+ is 113 while his slugging percentage is at .462. The Phillies have 692 hits, including 137 doubles and 100 home runs. Philadelphia has walked 352 times so far this season and they have struck out 858 times as a unit. They have left 623 men on base and have a team OPS of .712. They score 4.4 runs per contest and have scored a total of 392 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 36-52 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 1.79, Jacob deGrom has a 5-4 record and a 0.99 WHIP. He has 142 strikeouts over the 115.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 85 hits. He's allowing 6.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.33. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.74 and they have given up 308 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 306 batters and walked 143 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.31. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 763 base knocks and 380 earned runs this season. They have given up 114 home runs this year, which ranks 8th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 293 hitters and struck out 797 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 4.24.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .228, good for 29th in the league. The Mets hold a .379 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 7.6 hits per contest. Brandon Nimmo comes into this matchup batting .258 with an OBP of .382. He has 62 hits this year along with 26 RBI in 240 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .504 with an OPS+ of 145. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .282 this season and he has an OBP of .329. He has collected 94 hits in 333 at bats while driving in 51 runs. He has an OPS+ of 125 and a slugging percentage of .489. The Mets as a unit have 671 base hits, including 142 doubles and 92 homers. New York has walked 313 times this year and they have struck out on 767 occasions. They have had 589 men left on base and have an OPS of .686. They have scored 3.88 runs per game and totaled 341 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Phillies/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Phillies +145

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