Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds 9/29/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Saturday, September 29, 2018

Great American Ball Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jameson Taillon vs. Michael Lorenzen

The Pittsburgh Pirates visit Great American Ball Park on Saturday, September 29, 2018 to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Jameson Taillon for the Pirates and Michael Lorenzen for the Reds.

The opening line for this matchup has Pittsburgh at -145 and Cincinnati at +125. The Pirates have a 70-80-8 over/under record and a 78-80-0 run line mark. The Reds are 87-72-0 against the run line and have a 76-77-6 over/under record.

Valuable Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 70-80-8 against the over/under

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 78-80-0 against the run line

Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 76-77-6 against the over/under

The Cincinnati Reds are 87-72-0 against the run line

Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries

09/22/18 P Joe Musgrove Abdominal is out for season
09/19/18 RF Gregory Polanco Knee 10-day DL (09/15)
06/29/18 P Chad Kuhl Forearm 60-day DL (06/27)
06/29/18 P Nik Turley Arm 60-day DL (06/29)
03/26/18 P A.J. Schugel Shoulder 60-day DL (03/26)

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

08/30/18 P Robert Stephenson Shoulder 10-day DL (08/27)
07/26/18 LF Jesse Winker Shoulder 60-day DL (07/26)
07/25/18 C Tyler Stephenson Knee 10-day DL (07/23)
07/21/18 2B Alex Blandino Knee 60-day DL (07/21)
03/26/18 P Rookie Davis Hip 60-day DL (03/02)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Pirates have a 80-78 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jameson Taillon has a 14-9 record with an earned run average of 3.16 and a WHIP of 1.18 this season. He has 172 strikeouts over his 185 innings pitched and he's given up 172 hits. He's allowed 8.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.48. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.08 and they have given up 502 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .243 against the bullpen and they've struck out 559 hitters and walked 233 batters. As a team, Pittsburgh allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.01. The Pirates pitchers collectively have given up 1,355 base hits and 627 earned runs. They have allowed 169 home runs this season, ranking them 24th in the league. Pittsburgh as a pitching staff has walked 487 batters and struck out 1,298. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 4.06.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Pittsburgh is hitting .253, good for 12th in the league. The Pirates hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.6 hits per game. Corey Dickerson is hitting .298 with an on-base percentage of .330. He has 148 hits this season in 496 at bats with 54 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .474 and an OPS+ of 118. Starling Marte is hitting .274 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .323. He has totaled 150 hits and he has driven in 71 men in 547 at bats. His OPS+ is 110 while his slugging percentage is at .450. The Pirates have 1,352 hits, including 281 doubles and 153 home runs. Pittsburgh has walked 467 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,208 times as a unit. They have left 1,051 men on base and have a team OPS of .724. They score 4.29 runs per contest and have scored a total of 678 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 66-93 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.35, Michael Lorenzen has a 3-2 record and a 1.39 WHIP. He has 52 strikeouts over the 75.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 73 hits. He's allowing 8.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.21. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.13 and they have given up 567 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 522 batters and walked 243 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.9 batters per nine innings. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.65. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,462 base knocks and 730 earned runs this season. They have given up 224 home runs this year, which ranks 2nd in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 525 hitters and struck out 1,237 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 4.67.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .254, good for 9th in the league. The Reds hold a .400 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328, which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.7 hits per contest. Scooter Gennett comes into this matchup batting .313 with an OBP of .360. He has 181 hits this year along with 92 RBI in 579 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .494 with an OPS+ of 126. Jose Peraza is hitting .292 this season and he has an OBP of .330. He has collected 181 hits in 620 at bats while driving in 57 runs. He has an OPS+ of 100 and a slugging percentage of .423. The Reds as a unit have 1,379 base hits, including 248 doubles and 167 homers. Cincinnati has walked 549 times this year and they have struck out on 1,338 occasions. They have had 1,157 men left on base and have an OPS of .728. They have scored 4.3 runs per game and totaled 684 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Pirates/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Pirates -145

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