Red Sox at Dodgers World Series Game 3 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Friday, October 26, 2018

Dodger Stadium

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Rick Porcello vs. Walker Buehler

The Boston Red Sox head to Dodger Stadium on Friday to play the Los Angeles Dodgers in Game 3 of the World Series. Boston leads the series 2-0 after taking the first two games at Fenway. The expected starting pitchers are Rick Porcello for the Red Sox and Walker Buehler for the Dodgers.

The odds for this matchup have Boston at +145 and Los Angeles at -155. The Red Sox have a 84-80-9 over/under mark and a 100-73-0 run line record. The Dodgers are 72-90-0 against the run line and have a 71-82-9 over/under record.

Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 84-80-9 against the over/under

The Boston Red Sox are 100-73-0 against the run line

Important Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 71-82-9 against the over/under

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 72-90-0 against the run line

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

10/07/18 P Steven Wright Knee is out indefinitely
09/27/18 P Tyler Thornburg Shoulder is out for season
06/02/18 2B Dustin Pedroia Knee 60-day DL (05/30); is out for season
05/15/18 P Carson Smith Shoulder 60-day DL (05/15)
03/30/18 P Austin Maddox Shoulder 60-day DL (03/29)
03/26/18 SS Marco Hernandez Shoulder 60-day DL (03/29)

Key Los Angeles Dodgers Injuries

10/08/18 P Erik Goeddel Elbow 60-day DL (08/17)
09/18/18 P Daniel Hudson Forearm 60-day DL (08/25)
09/03/18 P Brock Stewart Oblique 60-day DL (09/03)
06/10/18 P Dennis Santana Rotator Cuff 60-day DL (06/05)
05/01/18 SS Corey Seager Elbow is out for season
03/30/18 P Tom Koehler Shoulder 60-day DL (03/26)

Useful Pitching Statistics

Starting pitcher Rick Porcello has a 17-7 record with an earned run average of 4.28 and a WHIP of 1.18 this year. He has 190 strikeouts over his 191.1 innings pitched and he's given up 177 hits. He allows 8.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.01. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.72 and they have given up 515 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the bullpen and they've struck out 628 hitters and walked 245 batters. As a team, Boston allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.76. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 1,306 base hits and 609 earned runs. They have allowed 176 home runs this season, ranking them 20th in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 512 batters and struck out 1,558. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.25 and their FIP as a unit is 3.82.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Boston is hitting .268, good for 1st in the league. The Red Sox hold a .453 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.3 hits per game. Mookie Betts is hitting .346 with an on-base percentage of .438. He has 180 hits this season in 520 at bats with 80 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .640 and an OPS+ of 186. Andrew Benintendi is hitting .290 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .366. He has totaled 168 hits and he has driven in 87 men in 579 at bats. His OPS+ is 123 while his slugging percentage is at .465. The Red Sox have 1,509 hits, including 355 doubles and 208 home runs. Boston has walked 569 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,253 times as a unit. They have left 1,124 men on base and have a team OPS of .792. They score 5.41 runs per contest and have scored a total of 876 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

With an earned run average of 2.76, Walker Buehler has a 7-5 record and a 0.98 WHIP this season. He has 148 strikeouts over the 130.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 94 hits. He allows 6.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.99. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.72 and they have given up 505 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the Dodgers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 625 batters and walked 199 opposing hitters. As a team, Los Angeles allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.39. The Dodgers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,275 base knocks and 552 earned runs this season. They have given up 177 home runs this year, which ranks 19th in Major League Baseball. Los Angeles as a staff has walked 418 hitters and struck out 1,559 batters. They give up a walk 2.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.15 while their FIP as a staff is 3.58.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .250, good for 15th in the league. The Dodgers hold a .441 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 14th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Cody Bellinger comes into this matchup batting .260 with an OBP of .344. He has 144 hits this year along with 74 RBI in 553 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .467 with an OPS+ of 119. Manny Machado is hitting .298 this season and he has an OBP of .367. He has collected 187 hits in 628 at bats while driving in 107 runs. He has an OPS+ of 147 and a slugging percentage of .540. The Dodgers as a unit have 1,385 base hits, including 293 doubles and 233 homers. Los Angeles has walked 645 times this year and they have struck out on 1,426 occasions. They have had 1,157 men left on base and have an OPS of .774. They have scored 4.93 runs per game and totaled 799 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Dodgers MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Dodgers -155

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