Rockies at Brewers NLDS Game 1 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Thursday, October 4, 2018

Miller Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Antonio Senzatela vs. Wade Miley

The Colorado Rockies visit Miller Park on Thursday to play the Milwaukee Brewers in Game 1 of the NLDS. The probable starters are Antonio Senzatela for the Rockies and Wade Miley for the Brewers.

The opening line for this matchup has Colorado at +156 and Milwaukee at -170. The Rockies have a 68-87-9 over/under record and a 87-77-0 run line mark. The Brewers are 88-75-0 against the run line and have a 79-81-3 over/under record.

Valuable Colorado Rockies Betting Trends

The Colorado Rockies are 68-87-9 against the over/under

The Colorado Rockies are 87-77-0 against the run line

Important Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 79-81-3 against the over/under

The Milwaukee Brewers are 88-75-0 against the run line

Key Colorado Rockies Injuries

09/06/18 CF Yonathan Daza Shoulder 60-day DL (09/04)
07/08/18 P Mike Dunn Undisclosed 60-day DL (07/07)
04/24/18 P Carlos Estevez Oblique 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Rayan Gonzalez Elbow 60-day DL (03/12)

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

07/26/18 P Brent Suter Forearm 60-day DL (7/23)
06/01/18 C Stephen Vogt Shoulder is out for season
03/26/18 P Jimmy Nelson Shoulder 60-day DL (03/26)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Rockies had a 91-72 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Antonio Senzatela has a 6-6 record with an earned run average of 4.38 and a WHIP of 1.37 this season. He has 69 strikeouts over his 90.1 innings pitched and he's given up 94 hits. He's allowed 9.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.17. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.62 and they have given up 483 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the bullpen and they've struck out 526 hitters and walked 217 batters. As a team, Colorado allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.34. The Rockies pitchers collectively have given up 1,369 base hits and 696 earned runs. They have allowed 182 home runs this season, ranking them 17th in the league. Colorado as a pitching staff has walked 523 batters and struck out 1,399. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 4.06.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Colorado is hitting .257, good for 6th in the league. The Rockies hold a .436 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 8.7 hits per game. Charlie Blackmon is hitting .289 with an on-base percentage of .356. He has 180 hits this season in 623 at bats with 70 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .501 and an OPS+ of 115. Nolan Arenado is hitting .297 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .374. He has totaled 174 hits and he has driven in 109 men in 586 at bats. His OPS+ is 133 while his slugging percentage is at .558. The Rockies have 1,414 hits, including 280 doubles and 208 home runs. Colorado has walked 503 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,391 times as a unit. They have left 1,061 men on base and have a team OPS of .758. They score 4.8 runs per contest and have scored a total of 778 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Milwaukee had a 96-67 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.57, Wade Miley has a 5-2 record and a 1.22 WHIP. He has 50 strikeouts over the 80.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 71 hits. He's allowing 7.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.6. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.47 and they have given up 522 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .226 against the Brewers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 708 batters and walked 243 opposing hitters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.75. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,256 base knocks and 605 earned runs this season. They have given up 172 home runs this year, which ranks 23rd in Major League Baseball. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 550 hitters and struck out 1,420 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 4.01.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .252, good for 13th in the league. The Brewers hold a .425 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 13th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Christian Yelich comes into this matchup batting .323 with an OBP of .400. He has 184 hits this year along with 109 RBI in 570 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .596 with an OPS+ of 163. Lorenzo Cain is hitting .308 this season and he has an OBP of .396. He has collected 165 hits in 535 at bats while driving in 37 runs. He has an OPS+ of 120 and a slugging percentage of .419. The Brewers as a unit have 1,386 base hits, including 251 doubles and 218 homers. Milwaukee has walked 537 times this year and they have struck out on 1,452 occasions. They have had 1,100 men left on base and have an OPS of .747. They have scored 4.64 runs per game and totaled 751 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Rockies/Brewers MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Brewers -170

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