Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox 4/29/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Sunday, April 29, 2018

Fenway Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Ryan Yarbrough vs. Rick Porcello

The Tampa Bay Rays head to Fenway Park on Sunday, April 29, 2018 to take on the Boston Red Sox. The expected starting pitchers are Ryan Yarbrough for the Rays and Rick Porcello for the Red Sox.

The odds for this matchup have Tampa Bay at +138 and Boston at -148. The Rays have a 16-8-0 over/under mark and a 14-10-0 run line record. The Red Sox are 12-13-0 against the run line and have a 13-11-1 over/under record.

Valuable Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends

The Tampa Bay Rays are 16-8-0 against the over/under

The Tampa Bay Rays are 14-10-0 against the run line

Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 13-11-1 against the over/under

The Boston Red Sox are 12-13-0 against the run line

Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries

04/17/18 CF Kevin Kiermaier Thumb 60-day DL (04/16)
04/11/18 P Jose De Leon Elbow 60-day DL (03/28)
03/29/18 P Nathan Eovaldi Elbow 10-day DL (03/28)

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

04/27/18 P Joe Kelly Suspension 6-game suspension
03/30/18 P Austin Maddox Shoulder 10-day DL (03/29)
03/30/18 P Tyler Thornburg Shoulder 10-day DL (03/29)
03/29/18 2B Dustin Pedroia Knee 10-day DL (03/29)
03/26/18 SS Marco Hernandez Shoulder 60-day DL (03/29)
03/26/18 P Steven Wright Knee 10-day DL (03/26)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Rays have a 11-13 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Ryan Yarbrough has a 0-1 record with an earned run average of 4.11 and a WHIP of 1.44 this year. He has 10 strikeouts over his 15.1 innings pitched and he's given up 12 hits. He allows 7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.07. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.79 and they have given up 97 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .262 against the bullpen and they've struck out 87 hitters and walked 41 batters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.62. The Rays pitchers collectively have given up 207 base hits and 110 earned runs. They have allowed 26 home runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 86 batters and struck out 206. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit is 4.17.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Tampa Bay is hitting .262, good for 4th in the league. The Rays hold a .402 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .334, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.0 hits per game. C.J. Cron is hitting .278 with an on-base percentage of .327. He has 25 hits this season in 90 at bats with 17 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .522 and an OPS+ of 136. Mallex Smith is hitting .333 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .400. He has totaled 24 hits and he has driven in 4 men in 72 at bats. His OPS+ is 137 while his slugging percentage is at .431. The Rays have 215 hits, including 37 doubles and 22 home runs. Tampa Bay has walked 80 times so far this season and they have struck out 210 times as a unit. They have left 170 men on base and have a team OPS of .737. They score 4.54 runs per contest and have scored a total of 109 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Boston has a 19-6 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 1.93, Rick Porcello has a 4-0 record and a 0.83 WHIP this season. He has 32 strikeouts over the 32.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 23 hits. He allows 6.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 1.77. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.13 and they have given up 63 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .201 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 88 batters and walked 34 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 7.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 2.94. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 181 base knocks and 75 earned runs this season. They have given up 19 home runs this year, which ranks 28th in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 72 hitters and struck out 237 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.10 while their FIP as a staff is 3.22.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .269, good for 1st in the league. The Red Sox hold a .451 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.5 hits per contest. Rafael Devers comes into this matchup batting .261 with an OBP of .320. He has 24 hits this year along with 18 RBI in 92 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .424 with an OPS+ of 98. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .405 this season and he has an OBP of .432. He has collected 17 hits in 42 at bats while driving in 9 runs. He has an OPS+ of 206 and a slugging percentage of .738. The Red Sox as a unit have 238 base hits, including 68 doubles and 29 homers. Boston has walked 84 times this year and they have struck out on 190 occasions. They have had 173 men left on base and have an OPS of .787. They have scored 5.56 runs per game and totaled 139 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Rays/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Rays +138

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