Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox 9/13/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Thursday, September 13, 2018

Fenway Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Sam Gaviglio vs. Eduardo Rodriguez

The Toronto Blue Jays head to Fenway Park on Thursday, September 13, 2018 to take on the Boston Red Sox. The expected starting pitchers are Sam Gaviglio for the Blue Jays and Eduardo Rodriguez for the Red Sox.

The odds for this matchup have Toronto at +255 and Boston at -280. The Blue Jays have a 75-62-7 over/under mark and a 62-82-0 run line record. The Red Sox are 84-61-0 against the run line and have a 68-70-7 over/under record.

Valuable Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Toronto Blue Jays are 75-62-7 against the over/under

The Toronto Blue Jays are 62-82-0 against the run line

Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 68-70-7 against the over/under

The Boston Red Sox are 84-61-0 against the run line

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

09/10/18 P Marcus Stroman Blister is questionable for next scheduled start
09/05/18 P Joe Biagini Oblique 10-day DL (09/04)
08/08/18 3B Brandon Drury Hand 10-day DL (08/05)
07/08/18 P Rhiner Cruz Groin 60-day DL (07/08)
03/26/18 SS Troy Tulowitzki Foot 60-day DL (03/29)

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

06/02/18 2B Dustin Pedroia Knee 60-day DL (05/30); is out for season
05/15/18 P Carson Smith Shoulder 60-day DL (05/15)
03/30/18 P Austin Maddox Shoulder 60-day DL (03/29)
03/26/18 SS Marco Hernandez Shoulder 60-day DL (03/29)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Blue Jays have a 65-79 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Sam Gaviglio has a 3-8 record with an earned run average of 5.25 and a WHIP of 1.42 this year. He has 96 strikeouts over his 104.2 innings pitched and he's given up 118 hits. He allows 10.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.69. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.39 and they have given up 538 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .258 against the bullpen and they've struck out 534 hitters and walked 193 batters. As a team, Toronto allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.88. The Blue Jays pitchers collectively have given up 1,327 base hits and 693 earned runs. They have allowed 187 home runs this season, ranking them 5th in the league. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 479 batters and struck out 1,158. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.41 and their FIP as a unit is 4.51.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Toronto is hitting .245, good for 17th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315, which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Justin Smoak is hitting .246 with an on-base percentage of .353. He has 116 hits this season in 471 at bats with 74 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .467 and an OPS+ of 127. Kevin Pillar is hitting .247 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .275. He has totaled 116 hits and he has driven in 53 men in 469 at bats. His OPS+ is 88 while his slugging percentage is at .412. The Blue Jays have 1,194 hits, including 291 doubles and 193 home runs. Toronto has walked 460 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,222 times as a unit. They have left 932 men on base and have a team OPS of .744. They score 4.47 runs per contest and have scored a total of 643 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Boston has a 99-46 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.64, Eduardo Rodriguez has a 12-4 record and a 1.24 WHIP this season. He has 126 strikeouts over the 113.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 105 hits. He allows 8.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.6. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.47 and they have given up 441 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 543 batters and walked 206 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.65. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,171 base knocks and 529 earned runs this season. They have given up 153 home runs this year, which ranks 22nd in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 449 hitters and struck out 1,395 batters. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 3.73.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .269, good for 1st in the league. The Red Sox hold a .454 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.3 hits per contest. J.D. Martinez comes into this matchup batting .331 with an OBP of .401. He has 173 hits this year along with 121 RBI in 523 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .633 with an OPS+ of 173. Andrew Benintendi is hitting .293 this season and he has an OBP of .372. He has collected 154 hits in 525 at bats while driving in 80 runs. He has an OPS+ of 128 and a slugging percentage of .480. The Red Sox as a unit have 1,353 base hits, including 315 doubles and 186 homers. Boston has walked 498 times this year and they have struck out on 1,109 occasions. They have had 993 men left on base and have an OPS of .792. They have scored 5.41 runs per game and totaled 785 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Blue Jays/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Blue Jays +255

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn