Yankees at Red Sox ALDS Game 1 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Friday, October 5, 2018

Fenway Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: J.A. Happ vs. Chris Sale

The New York Yankees visit Fenway Park on Friday to play the Boston Red Sox in Game 1 of the ALDS. The probable starters are J.A. Happ for the Yankees and Chris Sale for the Red Sox.

The opening line for this matchup has New York at +133 and Boston at -162. The Yankees have a 80-76-7 over/under record and a 84-79-0 run line mark. The Red Sox are 92-70-0 against the run line and have a 77-76-9 over/under record.

Valuable New York Yankees Betting Trends

The New York Yankees are 80-76-7 against the over/under

The New York Yankees are 84-79-0 against the run line

Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 77-76-9 against the over/under

The Boston Red Sox are 92-70-0 against the run line

Key New York Yankees Injuries

09/19/18 LF Clint Frazier Concussion 60-day DL (09/19)
07/07/18 P Jonathan Loaisiga Shoulder 10-day DL (07/07)
06/10/18 P Jordan Montgomery Elbow is out for season
05/02/18 CF Jacoby Ellsbury Oblique 60-day DL (03/26)
04/04/18 P Ben Heller Elbow 60-day DL (03/27)

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

09/27/18 P Tyler Thornburg Shoulder is out for season
06/02/18 2B Dustin Pedroia Knee 60-day DL (05/30); is out for season
05/15/18 P Carson Smith Shoulder 60-day DL (05/15)
03/30/18 P Austin Maddox Shoulder 60-day DL (03/29)
03/26/18 SS Marco Hernandez Shoulder 60-day DL (03/29)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Yankees had a 100-62 overall record this season. Starting pitcher J.A. Happ has a 17-6 record with an earned run average of 3.65 and a WHIP of 1.13 this season. He has 193 strikeouts over his 177.2 innings pitched and he's given up 150 hits. He's allowed 7.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.98. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.38 and they have given up 493 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .219 against the bullpen and they've struck out 753 hitters and walked 227 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.1 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.78. The Yankees pitchers collectively have given up 1,311 base hits and 611 earned runs. They have allowed 177 home runs this season, ranking them 18th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 494 batters and struck out 1,634. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.24 and their FIP as a unit is 3.64.

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .249, good for 16th in the league. The Yankees hold a .451 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Didi Gregorius is hitting .268 with an on-base percentage of .335. He has 135 hits this season in 504 at bats with 86 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .494 and an OPS+ of 120. Aaron Judge is hitting .278 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .392. He has totaled 115 hits and he has driven in 67 men in 413 at bats. His OPS+ is 145 while his slugging percentage is at .528. The Yankees have 1,374 hits, including 269 doubles and 267 home runs. New York has walked 625 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,421 times as a unit. They have left 1,100 men on base and have a team OPS of .781. They score 5.25 runs per contest and have scored a total of 851 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Boston had a 108-54 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.11, Chris Sale has a 12-4 record and a 0.86 WHIP. He has 237 strikeouts over the 158 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 102 hits. He's allowing 5.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 1.98. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.74 and they have given up 516 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 628 batters and walked 245 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.76. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,306 base knocks and 609 earned runs this season. They have given up 176 home runs this year, which ranks 20th in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 512 hitters and struck out 1,558 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.25 while their FIP as a staff is 3.82.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .268, good for 1st in the league. The Red Sox hold a .453 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.3 hits per contest. J.D. Martinez comes into this matchup batting .330 with an OBP of .402. He has 188 hits this year along with 130 RBI in 569 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .629 with an OPS+ of 173. Mookie Betts is hitting .346 this season and he has an OBP of .438. He has collected 180 hits in 520 at bats while driving in 80 runs. He has an OPS+ of 186 and a slugging percentage of .640. The Red Sox as a unit have 1,509 base hits, including 355 doubles and 208 homers. Boston has walked 569 times this year and they have struck out on 1,253 occasions. They have had 1,124 men left on base and have an OPS of .792. They have scored 5.41 runs per game and totaled 876 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Yankees/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Red Sox -162

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