Arizona Diamondbacks at Cincinnati Reds MLB Picks & Predictions 9/7/2019

Saturday, September 7, 2019

Great American Ball Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Alex Young vs. Luis Castillo

Nick Ahmed and the Arizona Diamondbacks (73-67, 2nd in NL West) travel to Great American Ball Park on Saturday where they'll take on the Cincinnati Reds (66-75, 4th in NL Central). The line on this matchup has the Diamondbacks coming in at +145 and the Reds are at -155. The over/under has been set at 9.5.

The Diamondbacks have been a pretty good bet for wagerers, having gone 73-67-0 SU. Cincinnati is covering 46.8% of the time, going 66-75-0 straight up.

Valuable Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends

The Diamondbacks have been a decent Over choice for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 66-66-8.

The Diamondbacks cover 52.1% of the time as the away team, having gone 37-34-0 straight up.

Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

Cincinnati is covering 54.3% of the time at Great American Ball Park, going 38-32-0 SU.

The Reds have been a dicey Over choice for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 55-81-5.

Related: Doc's Sports New 10-in-10 Show - 10 Games in 10 Minutes - Get those picks now - click here

Key Arizona Diamondbacks Injuries

8/27/2019 David Peralta LF Shoulder Out for the season
8/27/2019 Yoshihisa Hirano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 6
8/26/2019 Taijuan Walker SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 13
8/15/2019 Luke Weaver SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
6/27/2019 Steven Souza RF Knee Out for the season
3/11/2019 Silvino Bracho RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

9/5/2019 Nick Senzel CF Shoulder Probable for Sep 6
9/4/2019 Kyle Farmer 2B Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/2/2019 Alex Wood SP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
9/1/2019 Juan Graterol C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/28/2019 Jesse Winker LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Sep 6

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Diamondbacks have a 73-67 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Alex Young has a 6-3 record with an earned run average of 3.84 and a WHIP of 1.14 this season. He has 46 strikeouts over his 58.2 innings pitched and he's given up 49 hits. He's allowed 7.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.66. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.36 and they have given up 482 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the bullpen and they've struck out 488 hitters and walked 205 batters. As a team, Arizona allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.34. The Diamondbacks pitchers collectively have given up 1,217 base hits and 609 earned runs. They have allowed 181 home runs this season, ranking them 20th in the league. Arizona as a pitching staff has walked 446 batters and struck out 1,209. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.35.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Arizona is hitting .258, good for 11th in the league. The Diamondbacks hold a .448 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 9.0 hits per game. Nick Ahmed is hitting .264 with an on-base percentage of .327. He has 128 hits this season in 484 at bats with 77 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .448 and an OPS+ of 96. Eduardo Escobar is hitting .271 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .323. He has totaled 149 hits and he has driven in 110 men in 550 at bats. His OPS+ is 114 while his slugging percentage is at .533. The Diamondbacks have 1,260 hits, including 249 doubles and 203 home runs. Arizona has walked 456 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,153 times as a unit. They have left 962 men on base and have a team OPS of .775. They score 5.18 runs per contest and have scored a total of 725 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 66-75 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.25, Luis Castillo has a 14-5 record and a 1.15 WHIP. He has 198 strikeouts over the 166 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 124 hits. He's allowing 6.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.72. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.53 and they have given up 434 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 524 batters and walked 205 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.24. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,134 base knocks and 588 earned runs this season. They have given up 190 home runs this year, which ranks 17th in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 466 hitters and struck out 1,358 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.28 while their FIP as a staff is 4.25.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .247, good for 22nd in the league. The Reds hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.3 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this matchup batting .261 with an OBP of .350. He has 121 hits this year along with 43 RBI in 463 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .415 with an OPS+ of 96. Jose Iglesias is hitting .293 this season and he has an OBP of .321. He has collected 132 hits in 450 at bats while driving in 53 runs. He has an OPS+ of 88 and a slugging percentage of .420. The Reds as a unit have 1,173 base hits, including 205 doubles and 203 homers. Cincinnati has walked 407 times this year and they have struck out on 1,236 occasions. They have had 911 men left on base and have an OPS of .745. They have scored 4.49 runs per game and totaled 633 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Diamondbacks/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Diamondbacks (+145)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Tony Sink