Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Picks Against the Spread 7/3/2019

Wednesday, July 3, 2019

Dodger Stadium

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Merrill Kelly vs. Walker Buehler

Eduardo Escobar and the Arizona Diamondbacks (43-43, 3rd in NL West) travel to Dodger Stadium on Wednesday where they'll take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (57-29, 1st in NL West). The Diamondbacks open this game at +250 while the Dodgers are priced at -275. The total has been set at 8.

The Diamondbacks have been good for Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 43-43-0 SU. The Dodgers cover 66.3% of the time, going 57-29-0 straight up. The Dodgers have been a strong play for baseball wagerers as the favorite, going 57-27-0 SU. Arizona has gone 25-28-0 straight up as an underdog, so they cover 47.2% of the time.

Valuable Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends

The Diamondbacks have been a solid Over bet for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 44-39-3.

The Diamondbacks cover 55.3% of the time as the visitor, having gone 26-21-0 straight up.

Important Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends

The Dodgers cover 79.1% of the time at Dodger Stadium, going 34-9-0 SU.

The Dodgers have been a solid Over bet for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 43-39-4.

Key Arizona Diamondbacks Injuries

6/27/2019 Steven Souza RF Knee Out for the season
6/25/2019 Wilmer Flores 2B Foot Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/24/2019 Luke Weaver SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
6/14/2019 Jon Duplantier RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
5/30/2019 Taijuan Walker SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
3/11/2019 Silvino Bracho RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Los Angeles Dodgers Injuries

7/1/2019 Tom Koehler SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
6/30/2019 A.J CF Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/28/2019 Scott Alexander RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
6/28/2019 David Freese 1B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 4
6/26/2019 Tony Cingrani RP Shoulder Out for the season
6/21/2019 Corey Seager SS Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/20/2019 Rich Hill SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Diamondbacks have a 43-43 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Merrill Kelly has a 7-8 record with an earned run average of 4.00 and a WHIP of 1.27 this season. He has 79 strikeouts over his 99 innings pitched and he's given up 98 hits. He's allowed 8.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.33. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.45 and they have given up 297 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the bullpen and they've struck out 292 hitters and walked 124 batters. As a team, Arizona allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.34. The Diamondbacks pitchers collectively have given up 747 base hits and 376 earned runs. They have allowed 104 home runs this season, ranking them 23rd in the league. Arizona as a pitching staff has walked 273 batters and struck out 745. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 4.21.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Arizona is hitting .258, good for 10th in the league. The Diamondbacks hold a .447 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.1 hits per game. Eduardo Escobar is hitting .292 with an on-base percentage of .351. He has 96 hits this season in 329 at bats with 64 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .541 and an OPS+ of 126. Ketel Marte is hitting .309 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .357. He has totaled 103 hits and he has driven in 52 men in 333 at bats. His OPS+ is 135 while his slugging percentage is at .571. The Diamondbacks have 786 hits, including 171 doubles and 122 home runs. Arizona has walked 264 times so far this season and they have struck out 732 times as a unit. They have left 601 men on base and have a team OPS of .769. They score 5.1 runs per contest and have scored a total of 439 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Los Angeles has a 57-29 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.43, Walker Buehler has a 8-1 record and a 0.97 WHIP. He has 104 strikeouts over the 97 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 80 hits. He's allowing 7.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.87. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.26 and they have given up 228 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .225 against the Dodgers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 262 batters and walked 93 opposing hitters. As a team, Los Angeles allows 7.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.41. The Dodgers pitchers as a team have surrendered 647 base knocks and 289 earned runs this season. They have given up 100 home runs this year, which ranks 25th in Major League Baseball. Los Angeles as a staff has walked 191 hitters and struck out 759 batters. They give up a walk 2.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.10 while their FIP as a staff is 3.79.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .267, good for 7th in the league. The Dodgers hold a .473 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .347, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Cody Bellinger comes into this matchup batting .346 with an OBP of .442. He has 102 hits this year along with 67 RBI in 295 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .695 with an OPS+ of 194. Max Muncy is hitting .279 this season and he has an OBP of .380. He has collected 79 hits in 283 at bats while driving in 58 runs. He has an OPS+ of 141 and a slugging percentage of .544. The Dodgers as a unit have 778 base hits, including 157 doubles and 139 homers. Los Angeles has walked 332 times this year and they have struck out on 677 occasions. They have had 642 men left on base and have an OPS of .820. They have scored 5.34 runs per game and totaled 459 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Diamondbacks/Dodgers MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Dodgers -275

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