Arizona Diamondbacks at Miami Marlins MLB Game Picks 7/29/2019
Monday, July 29, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Merrill Kelly vs. Caleb Smith
Ketel Marte and the Arizona Diamondbacks (53-52, 2nd in NL West) go to Marlins Park on Monday where they'll meet the Miami Marlins (39-63, 5th in NL East). The moneyline on this matchup has the Diamondbacks coming in at -114 and the Marlins are at +104. The total has been set at 8.
The Diamondbacks have been a solid bet for MLB bettors, having gone 53-52-0 SU. Miami covers 38.2% of the time, going 39-63-0 straight up. The Diamondbacks have been a solid bet for MLB bettors as favorites, going 23-19-0 SU. Miami covers 36.1% of the time as an underdog, having gone 35-62-0 straight up.
Valuable Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends
The Diamondbacks have been a good Over pick for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 51-48-6.
Arizona covers 53.6% of the time away from home, having gone 30-26-0 straight up.
Important Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Marlins are covering 36.5% of the time at Marlins Park, going 19-33-0 SU.
The Marlins have been a pretty good Under pick for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 45-52-5.
Key Arizona Diamondbacks Injuries
7/26/2019 Luke Weaver SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
7/20/2019 Matt Andriese RP Foot Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/27/2019 Steven Souza RF Knee Out for the season
5/30/2019 Taijuan Walker SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
3/11/2019 Silvino Bracho RP Elbow Out for the season
Key Miami Marlins Injuries
7/28/2019 Austin Brice RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
7/26/2019 Jon Berti 3B Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
7/23/2019 Pablo Lopez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 6
7/18/2019 JT Riddle CF Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
7/16/2019 Chad Wallach C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/12/2019 Drew Steckenrider RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/11/2019 Julian Fernandez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
6/14/2019 Jose Urena SP Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Diamondbacks have a 53-52 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Merrill Kelly has a 7-10 record with an earned run average of 4.22 and a WHIP of 1.27 this season. He has 96 strikeouts over his 119.1 innings pitched and he's given up 120 hits. He's allowed 9.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.49. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.35 and they have given up 347 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .243 against the bullpen and they've struck out 371 hitters and walked 153 batters. As a team, Arizona allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.25. The Diamondbacks pitchers collectively have given up 889 base hits and 448 earned runs. They have allowed 132 home runs this season, ranking them 22nd in the league. Arizona as a pitching staff has walked 328 batters and struck out 925. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.28 and their FIP as a unit is 4.23.
As a team Arizona is hitting .259, good for 9th in the league. The Diamondbacks hold a .447 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.1 hits per game. Ketel Marte is hitting .318 with an on-base percentage of .374. He has 129 hits this season in 406 at bats with 62 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .571 and an OPS+ of 140. Eduardo Escobar is hitting .289 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .342. He has totaled 118 hits and he has driven in 80 men in 409 at bats. His OPS+ is 124 while his slugging percentage is at .543. The Diamondbacks have 956 hits, including 203 doubles and 146 home runs. Arizona has walked 336 times so far this season and they have struck out 883 times as a unit. They have left 733 men on base and have a team OPS of .773. They score 5.16 runs per contest and have scored a total of 542 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Miami has a 39-63 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.30, Caleb Smith has a 6-4 record and a 1.02 WHIP. He has 110 strikeouts over the 90 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 62 hits. He's allowing 6.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.13. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.82 and they have given up 330 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 359 batters and walked 150 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.36. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 828 base knocks and 440 earned runs this season. They have given up 127 home runs this year, which ranks 25th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 368 hitters and struck out 885 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.47.
As a team, they are batting .238, good for 27th in the league. The Marlins hold a .360 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .294, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 8.0 hits per contest. Starlin Castro comes into this matchup batting .252 with an OBP of .280. He has 102 hits this year along with 42 RBI in 405 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .360 with an OPS+ of 72. Brian Anderson is hitting .243 this season and he has an OBP of .322. He has collected 89 hits in 367 at bats while driving in 46 runs. He has an OPS+ of 99 and a slugging percentage of .420. The Marlins as a unit have 820 base hits, including 161 doubles and 82 homers. Miami has walked 238 times this year and they have struck out on 915 occasions. They have had 659 men left on base and have an OPS of .654. They have scored 3.55 runs per game and totaled 362 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Diamondbacks/Marlins MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Marlins +104
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