Arizona Diamondbacks at New York Mets MLB Picks Against the Spread 9/10/2019

Tuesday, September 10, 2019

Citi Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Zac Gallen vs. Zack Wheeler

Nick Ahmed and the Arizona Diamondbacks (75-68, 2nd in NL West) head to Citi Field on Tuesday where they'll take on the New York Mets (72-70, 4th in NL East). The Mets open this game at -130 while the Diamondbacks are priced at +120. The over/under opens at 8.

The Diamondbacks have been inconsistent for Las Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 75-68-0 SU. The Mets cover 50.7% of the time, going 72-70-0 straight up.

Valuable Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends

The Diamondbacks have been a decent Over bet for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 67-68-8.

The Diamondbacks cover 52.7% of the time as the visitor, having gone 39-35-0 straight up.

Important New York Mets Betting Trends

New York is covering 56.7% of the time at Citi Field, going 38-29-0 SU.

The Mets have been a decent Over bet for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 69-59-14.

Key Arizona Diamondbacks Injuries

9/9/2019 Taijuan Walker SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/6/2019 Robbie Ray SP Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
8/27/2019 David Peralta LF Shoulder Out for the season
8/15/2019 Luke Weaver SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
6/27/2019 Steven Souza RF Knee Out for the season
3/11/2019 Silvino Bracho RP Elbow Out for the season

Key New York Mets Injuries

9/7/2019 Dominic Smith LF Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/4/2019 Robert Gsellman RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
8/14/2019 Jacob Rhame RP Elbow Out for the season
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Diamondbacks have a 75-68 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Zac Gallen has a 3-4 record with an earned run average of 2.50 and a WHIP of 1.23 this season. He has 82 strikeouts over his 68.1 innings pitched and he's given up 52 hits. He's allowed 6.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.35. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.36 and they have given up 492 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the bullpen and they've struck out 498 hitters and walked 212 batters. As a team, Arizona allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.32. The Diamondbacks pitchers collectively have given up 1,239 base hits and 618 earned runs. They have allowed 184 home runs this season, ranking them 20th in the league. Arizona as a pitching staff has walked 457 batters and struck out 1,242. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.33.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Arizona is hitting .257, good for 11th in the league. The Diamondbacks hold a .446 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Nick Ahmed is hitting .263 with an on-base percentage of .327. He has 130 hits this season in 494 at bats with 79 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .449 and an OPS+ of 97. Eduardo Escobar is hitting .270 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .323. He has totaled 152 hits and he has driven in 110 men in 562 at bats. His OPS+ is 114 while his slugging percentage is at .530. The Diamondbacks have 1,279 hits, including 255 doubles and 206 home runs. Arizona has walked 471 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,182 times as a unit. They have left 985 men on base and have a team OPS of .772. They score 5.15 runs per contest and have scored a total of 737 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 72-70 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.33, Zack Wheeler has a 10-7 record and a 1.31 WHIP. He has 163 strikeouts over the 166.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 171 hits. He's allowing 9.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.68. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.22 and they have given up 465 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 494 batters and walked 208 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.42. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,248 base knocks and 628 earned runs this season. They have given up 181 home runs this year, which ranks 23rd in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 451 hitters and struck out 1,321 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 4.17.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .258, good for 9th in the league. The Mets hold a .437 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Pete Alonso comes into this matchup batting .268 with an OBP of .368. He has 140 hits this year along with 107 RBI in 522 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .588 with an OPS+ of 151. Amed Rosario is hitting .287 this season and he has an OBP of .322. He has collected 156 hits in 544 at bats while driving in 59 runs. He has an OPS+ of 99 and a slugging percentage of .426. The Mets as a unit have 1,282 base hits, including 244 doubles and 204 homers. New York has walked 450 times this year and they have struck out on 1,217 occasions. They have had 1,007 men left on base and have an OPS of .766. They have scored 4.86 runs per game and totaled 690 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Diamondbacks/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Mets (-130)

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