Arizona Diamondbacks at New York Mets MLB Picks Against the Spread 9/11/2019

Wednesday, September 11, 2019

Citi Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Robbie Ray vs. Steven Matz

Eduardo Escobar and the Arizona Diamondbacks (75-69, 2nd in NL West) head to Citi Field on Wednesday where they'll take on the New York Mets (73-70, 4th in NL East). The Diamondbacks open this matchup at +110 while the Mets are coming in at -120. The O/U has been set at 8.

The Diamondbacks have been a good play for baseball wagerers, having gone 75-69-0 SU. New York covers 51.0% of the time, going 73-70-0 straight up.

Valuable Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends

The Diamondbacks have been a solid Over bet for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 67-69-8.

The Diamondbacks cover 52.0% of the time away from home, having gone 39-36-0 straight up.

Important New York Mets Betting Trends

The Mets cover 57.4% of the time at Citi Field, going 39-29-0 SU.

The Mets have been a solid Over bet for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 69-60-14.

Key Arizona Diamondbacks Injuries

9/9/2019 Taijuan Walker SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
8/27/2019 David Peralta LF Shoulder Out for the season
8/15/2019 Luke Weaver SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
6/27/2019 Steven Souza RF Knee Out for the season
3/11/2019 Silvino Bracho RP Elbow Out for the season

Key New York Mets Injuries

9/7/2019 Dominic Smith LF Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/4/2019 Robert Gsellman RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
8/14/2019 Jacob Rhame RP Elbow Out for the season
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Diamondbacks have a 75-69 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Robbie Ray has a 12-7 record with an earned run average of 4.03 and a WHIP of 1.32 this season. He has 207 strikeouts over his 156.1 innings pitched and he's given up 133 hits. He's allowed 7.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.1. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.35 and they have given up 494 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the bullpen and they've struck out 500 hitters and walked 212 batters. As a team, Arizona allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.31. The Diamondbacks pitchers collectively have given up 1,248 base hits and 621 earned runs. They have allowed 186 home runs this season, ranking them 20th in the league. Arizona as a pitching staff has walked 459 batters and struck out 1,249. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.34.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Arizona is hitting .256, good for 12th in the league. The Diamondbacks hold a .445 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Eduardo Escobar is hitting .270 with an on-base percentage of .322. He has 153 hits this season in 566 at bats with 110 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .528 and an OPS+ of 113. Nick Ahmed is hitting .262 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .325. He has totaled 130 hits and he has driven in 79 men in 497 at bats. His OPS+ is 96 while his slugging percentage is at .447. The Diamondbacks have 1,282 hits, including 255 doubles and 207 home runs. Arizona has walked 472 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,197 times as a unit. They have left 987 men on base and have a team OPS of .770. They score 5.12 runs per contest and have scored a total of 738 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 73-70 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.00, Steven Matz has a 9-8 record and a 1.32 WHIP. He has 132 strikeouts over the 139.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 142 hits. He's allowing 9.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.48. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.19 and they have given up 465 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 498 batters and walked 208 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.4. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,251 base knocks and 629 earned runs this season. They have given up 182 home runs this year, which ranks 22nd in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 452 hitters and struck out 1,336 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.15.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .259, good for 8th in the league. The Mets hold a .438 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Amed Rosario comes into this matchup batting .289 with an OBP of .324. He has 158 hits this year along with 60 RBI in 547 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .428 with an OPS+ of 100. Pete Alonso is hitting .270 this season and he has an OBP of .369. He has collected 142 hits in 526 at bats while driving in 109 runs. He has an OPS+ of 154 and a slugging percentage of .599. The Mets as a unit have 1,291 base hits, including 246 doubles and 206 homers. New York has walked 452 times this year and they have struck out on 1,224 occasions. They have had 1,012 men left on base and have an OPS of .767. They have scored 4.85 runs per game and totaled 693 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Diamondbacks/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Mets (-120)

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